540
FXUS63 KLBF 020004
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
704 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HIGH CONFIDENCE IN HOT, ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH SUNDAY
ALONG WITH DRY CONDITIONS.
- LOW TO MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN A RETURN TO PRECIPITATION EARLY
NEXT WEEK ALONG WITH COOLER, BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
- LOW CONFIDENCE IN A RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE
END OF THE WEEK.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 341 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND
ALLOWING FOR SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO REMAIN OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT WITH NEAR
NORMAL TEMPERATURES. WARM AIR ADVECTION WITH 850MB TEMPERATURES IN
THE 28 TO 32 C WILL PUSH INTO THE PANHANDLE REGION ALLOWING FOR
TEMPERATURES TO SOAR INTO THE UPPER 90S TO LOW 100S IN THIS REGION.
AT THIS TIME, WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ON SUNDAY WILL HELP TO KEEP
HEAT INDICES JUST BELOW 100 DEGREES KEEPING ANY HEAT HEADLINES AT
BAY FOR THE TIME BEING. THESE DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS, THOUGH, WILL
ALLOW FOR A RETURN TO CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE EASTERN
PANHANDLE. SEE THE FIRE WEATHER SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 341 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
ACTIVE WEATHER RETURNS FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK BRINGING
INCREASED MOISTURE AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WILL PUSH THROUGH NEBRASKA ON MONDAY RESULTING IN SOME RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BY THE EVENING. AS THIS TIME, THE SEVERE THREAT
REMAINS MARGINAL WHICH CORRELATES WELL TO THE LATEST SPC GUIDANCE.
IF THUNDERSTORMS CAN DEVELOP, THE ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE
FOR SOME STRONGER TO BRIEFLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. OTHERWISE,
EXPECTING THESE STORMS TO REMAIN FAIRLY ISOLATED ESPECIALLY TO THE
SOUTH AND WEST WHERE LESS INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED. ANOTHER ROUND OF
THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS ON TUESDAY EVENING WITH ANOTHER POTENTIAL FOR
SOME SEVERE STORMS. STORMS ON TUESDAY WILL HAVE A BETTER CHANCE AT
BECOME WIDESPREAD, IMPACTING MUCH OF THE REGION. ALTHOUGH THE SEVERE
RISK DOES REMAIN UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME, WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO
SEE SOME ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
AS THE MAIN THREATS. NEAR-DAILY PRECIPITATION CHANCES CONTINUE
THROUGH THE REST OF NEXT WEEK, BUT THE SEVERE POTENTIAL AS WELL AS
DEVELOPMENT IS UNCERTAIN.
FOR TEMPERATURES, THE COLD FRONT PUSHING THROUGH EARLY WEEK WILL
USHER IN SOME COOLER AIR INTO THE REGION. HIGHS WILL DROP FROM THE
LOW 90S TO LOW 100S ON MONDAY INTO THE LOW 70S TO LOW 80S ON
TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK, RETURNING TO THE 90S BY FRIDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL ALSO DROP
FROM THE MID 60S TO LOW 70S MONDAY MORNING TO THE 50S BY TUESDAY
MORNING. THEY WILL ALSO SLOWLY INCREASE BACK INTO THE 60S BY FRIDAY
MORNING.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 651 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. SURFACE
WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. THE
STRONGER WINDS WILL BE ACROSS NORTHWEST NEBRASKA WHERE THEY WILL
BE IN THE 15-25 KT RANGE.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR NEZ204-210.
SHORT TERM...KULIK
LONG TERM...KULIK
AVIATION...TAYLOR
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page