376
FXUS63 KLBF 192318
AFDLBF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
618 PM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS
SOUTHWEST NE.
- A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
SOUTHWEST. OTHERWISE, DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH
THE UPCOMING WEEK WITH HIGHS WARMING INTO THE UPPER 70S
THURSDAY.
- A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT, BRINGING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS.
WINDY AND WARM FRIDAY, THEN COOLER SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 157 PM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...THE HRRR, 3KM NAM, AND RAP SUPPORT FOG TO
DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS SOUTHWEST NE. HAVE
INTRODUCED PATCHY FOG. LOWS TONIGHT IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S.
MEANWHILE, A DISTURBANCE OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION TONIGHT WILL
LIFT INTO SOUTHWEST NE BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL BRING A
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS TO AREAS MAINLY NEAR AND SOUTH
OF I80. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEEPENING ALONG THE FRONT RANGE WILL
BRING AN INCREASED SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS
INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS TUESDAY WARMER
FROM THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WILL CARRY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR LIGHT
RAIN SHOWERS TUESDAY EVENING FOR FAR SOUTHEASTERN AREAS. LOWS IN THE
40S. WEDNESDAY, UPPER RIDGING WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE CENTRAL
U.S. AS TROUGHING WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. WITH A CLOSED
LOW OF THE COAST OF CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. A WEAK SURFACE FRONT WILL
DROP SOUTH, WITH LIGHT WINDS. HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S, WITH
UPPER 70S FAR SOUTHWEST.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 157 PM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
THURSDAY...UPPER RIDGING WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. WITH
TROUGHING ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. WITH A CLOSED LOW MOVING INLAND.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH ACROSS THE WEST WITH
HIGHS 75 TO 80 AND PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...THE UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INTO THE ROCKIES. A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS FRIDAY. WINDY FRIDAY
AREA WIDE, AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS TO 45 MPH. HIGHS
FRIDAY 75 TO 84.
FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT, INCREASED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT ARRIVES IN THE
WEST LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH LIFTS THROUGH THE
REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY AND INTERACTS WITH THE FRONT. THE GFS
REMAINS FASTER WITH THE UPPER TROUGH PASSAGE, WHILE THE ECMWF IS
SLOWER AND STALLS THE FRONT OVER THE AREA INTO SUNDAY. CONSENSUS IS
FOR THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS TO BE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN
HALF OF THE AREA. HIGHS COOLING INTO THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S
SATURDAY.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...LINGERING SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS, MAINLY
SOUTH AND EAST, AS THE UPPER TROUGH WEAKENS AND MOVES EAST. HIGHS
EACH DAY MORE SEASONABLE IN THE UPPER 50S TO NEAR 65.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 617 PM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
APPROXIMATELY 08Z. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. BY AROUND
09Z, FOG DEVELOPMENT IS LOOKING MORE LIKELY ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN
NEBRASKA, INCLUDING THE KLBF TERMINAL. CONFIDENCE IN THE EXTENT OF
THE FOG AND ASSOCIATED VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS REMAINS SOMEWHAT
UNCERTAIN, THOUGH AT LEAST LIFR CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN 09Z
AND 15Z. THE FOG SHOULD CLEAR BY LATE MORNING, WITH VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL REMAIN
OUT OF THE SOUTH TUESDAY AFTERNOON, WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 10 TO
15 KNOTS AND GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTH-
CENTRAL NEBRASKA.
LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROBERG
LONG TERM...ROBERG
AVIATION...LABENZ
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page