044
FNUS74 KLIX 210138
FWSLIX
SPOT FORECAST FOR G-11 NE...USFW
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
738 PM CST THU FEB 20 2025
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
WE CAN BE REACHED AT (985) 649-0357 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS
WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH SATURDAY AT THE BURN SITE
RESULTING IN VERY LOW MINIMUM RH VALUES EACH AFTERNOON. LIMITED OVERNIGHT
RH RECOVERY IS ALSO EXPECTED. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTH TO
NORTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE DAY TOMORROW AND INTO TOMORROW NIGHT AS A BROAD
AND STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE SITS OVER THE OZARKS. A SHIFT TO
A MORE NORTHWEST DIRECTION IS EXPECTED BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON IN RESPONSE TO
A WEAK COLD FRONT PUSHING THROUGH THE AREA.
1. THERE IS A ZERO PERCENT CHANCE OF FOG TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING.
2. THERE IS VERY HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM THE NORTH
AND NORTHEAST TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT, KEEPING ANY SMOKE AWAY FROM I-10.
3. THERE IS VERY HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE PREDICTED WIND SPEED AND DIRECTION
FOR TOMORROW THROUGH 6 PM. WINDS WILL BE OCCASIONALLY GUSTY, BUT THE WIND SPEEDS
WILL BE GRADUALLY DECREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
4. THERE WILL BE NO SEABREEZE DEVELOPING AS CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR IT TO
OCCUR.
5. CONFIDENCE IS LOW THAT THE RH WILL REMAIN ABOVE 28 PERCENT TOMORROW. IF THE
FORECAST IS OFF BY 1 DEGREE IN EITHER THE DEWPOINT OR TEMPERATURE (WHICH HAS
A VERY HIGH PROBABILITY OF OCCURRING), THE RH VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 28 PERCENT.
6. CONFIDENCE IS LOW THAT THE RH RECOVERY WILL BE OVER 70 PERCENT TONIGHT GIVEN
THE VERY DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE. WE CURRENTLY EXPECT RH TO MAX OUT BETWEEN 55 AND
65 PERCENT TONIGHT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............17 INCREASING TO 20 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIN APPARENT TEMP...31.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
AND AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...579-1036 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 METERS/SECOND.
LVORI...............2.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........23 28 25 25 25 26 35 52
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............38 42 45 48 50 50 51 49
DEWPOINT........15 16 17 18 18 19 19 20
RH..............38 34 32 30 28 29 28 31
APARNT TMP (F)..31 36 41 44 47 47 51 47
20 FT WIND DIR..NNE NNE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 8 8 8 7 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 13 12 12 10 9 8
MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.NNE NNE NE NE NE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 8 8 8 7 7 7
TRANS WIND DIR..NNE NNE NE NE NE NE NE NE
TRANS SPD (M/S).5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............24.
MIN APPARENT TEMP...32.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-183 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.
LVORI...............3.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........54 56 67 74 67 65 62 55 49 42 39 37
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............46 44 41 40 39 38 37 36 36 35 35 35
DEWPOINT........22 23 25 26 26 26 25 25 25 25 25 25
RH..............38 44 52 57 59 62 61 64 64 66 66 66
APARNT TMP (F)..45 42 39 38 37 36 34 33 33 32 32 32
20 FT WIND DIR..NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NE NE NE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8
TRANS WIND DIR..NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NE NE NE NE NE NE
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............27 INCREASING TO 36.
MIN APPARENT TEMP...31.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1067 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST AROUND 4 METERS/SECOND DECREASING TO
2 TO 4 METERS/SECOND IN THE MORNING, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 2 TO 3 METERS/SECOND
IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........34 36 38 41 39 36 34 29 23 18 18 17
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............35 38 42 45 49 53 57 58 59 60 58 55
DEWPOINT........25 27 29 31 33 34 35 35 35 35 36 37
RH..............66 64 60 58 54 48 43 42 40 39 44 51
APARNT TMP (F)..31 34 39 43 47 53 57 58 59 60 58 55
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NNE NNE NNE N N N NW WNW WNW WNW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 6 6
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NNW NNW NNW WNW WNW WNW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 7 7
TRANS WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NNW NNW NNW WNW WNW WNW
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
FORECASTER...GRIGSBY
REQUESTED BY...SKYLAR NEUGEBAUER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2503402.0/LIX
.DELDT 02/20/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SAMI.GRAY@FWS.GOV
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