855
FXUS64 KLIX 271815
AFDLIX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
115 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 111 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT, MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORMS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGHOUT THE WORKWEEK THANKS TO LINGERING SHORTWAVE BOUNDARIES.
RIGHT NOW THE BEST CHANCES OF SEEING RAINFALL WILL BE DURING THE
DAYTIME HOURS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS WELL AS THURSDAY LATE
EVENING INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THE NEXT ROUND OF RAINFALL LOOKS TO BE TOMORROW
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. SOME SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE ROUNDS OF STORMS, MAINLY GUSTY SEVERE WINDS
(60+MPH). WE ARE OUTLOOKED IN A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER
FROM SPC FOR THE NEXT 2 DAYS AT LEAST. LIGHTNING, OF COURSE, WILL
ALSO BE A CONCERN THIS WEEK. SOME MINOR FLOODING AND PONDING COULD
BE POSSIBLE, LOOKING AT THE MODELS. GENERALLY, 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL
BE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE INSIDE HEAVIER
ROUNDS OF RAINFALL. WE ARE OUTLOOKED IN A MARGINAL RISK OF HEAVY
RAINFALL FROM WPC. THANKS TO THE RAINFALL, TEMPERATURES WILL BE
FAIRLY MILD OVERALL WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 80S FOR THE WORKWEEK.
MSW
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 111 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, GENERALLY, CONDITIONS LOOK FAIRLY
DRY OVERALL. SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS COULD BE POSSIBLE, BUT NO
APPRECIABLE RAIN IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THAT COULD CHANGE AS WE
GET CLOSER TO THE WEEKEND. MONDAY, SOME COASTAL CONVECTION AND
STORMS COULD BE POSSIBLE, MAINLY FOR COASTAL LOUISIANA. SINCE IT
WILL BE A LITTLE DRIER, THE TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB AGAIN INTO THE
UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S. SO, MAKE SURE YOU WILL BE PLANNING TO HYDRATE
OVER THE WEEKEND, AS IT IS STILL EARLY IN THE SEASON AND MOST PEOPLE
HAVE NOT FULLY ACCLIMATED TO THE SUMMER CONDITIONS. MSW
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 111 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
MVFR TO VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL AS THESE STORMS MOVE
EASTWARD AND OUT OF OUR AREA. SOME GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE AS THESE
STORMS MOVE THROUGH, ESPECIALLY NEAR GPT. AS THESE STORMS MOVE EAST,
VFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN AT ALL AREA AIRPORTS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. MSW
MARINE
ISSUED AT 111 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
WINDS WILL BE BENIGN AND SOUTHERLY TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL BE NORTHERLY AND MODERATE (10-15KTS)
SATURDAY. WINDS WILL BE SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY WITH MODERATE (10-15KTS) SPEEDS. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS
AND STORMS WILL BE EXPECTED THIS WEEK, WHICH COULD BRING SHORT TERM
GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING AS A HAZARD TO MARINERS. MSW
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 68 86 68 83 / 40 70 60 90
BTR 72 87 71 85 / 30 80 50 90
ASD 72 87 71 85 / 30 70 40 80
MSY 76 88 75 87 / 30 70 40 80
GPT 72 87 72 83 / 30 60 50 90
PQL 71 88 70 85 / 30 60 40 90
LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...MSW
LONG TERM....MSW
AVIATION...MSW
MARINE...MSW
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