192
FXUS64 KLIX 232326
AFDLIX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
626 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 135 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING THE FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL SLIDE
SOUTHWARD INTO THE GULF. SOME SCATTERED COASTAL SHOWERS AND
STORMS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS RIGHT ALONG THE
LA COAST SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS IT PROGRESSES SOUTH. THESE STORMS
WOULD HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND GUSTY SUB-
SEVERE WINDS (40-50MPH) PRIMARILY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN
THE MID 90S WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW 70S THANKS TO THE DRIER
CONDITIONS. AS A RESULT, HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE IN THE UPPER
90S AND EARLY 100S. THIS WILL BE A WELCOME BREAK FROM THE TYPICAL
PATTERN AND A NICE RELIEF IN THE HEAT! MSW
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 135 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A WEAK COOL FRONT WILL PROGRESS THROUGH
THE AREA. SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AS THIS SYSTEM SLIDES SOUTHWARD INTO THE GULF. THESE
STORMS WILL HAVE THE RISK OF GUSTY SUBSEVERE WINDS (30-50MPH) AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING. ADDITIONALLY, PWS WILL BE AROUND 1.8 TO 2
INCHES, ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SO, RAINFALL COULD BE
FAIRLY EFFICIENT, WHICH COULD LEAD TO PONDING OF LOW LYING
ROADWAYS. BY TUESDAY, TEMPERATURES WILL BE FEELING QUITE NICE WITH
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S. LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S
AND LOW 70S.
A RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE
WORKWEEK, WHICH WILL BRING DRIER CONDITIONS THROUGH THE AREA.
LITTLE TO NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED AT LEAST WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE PLEASANT WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S AND LOW 70S FOR
THE AREA. MSW
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 620 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED FOR ALL TERMINALS FOR THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THERE IS SOME LOW CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ONGOING BUT
SHOULD DIMINISH IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO BUT DID INCLUDE SOME TEMPO
GRIDS TO REFLECT CURRENT RADAR TRENDS. OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AND
LAKE/SEA BREEZES COULD CAUSE LOCAL WIND DIRECTION FLUCTUATIONS AS
WELL BUT SHOULD REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT REGARDLESS. OTHERWISE NOT
FORECASTING ANY MAJOR ISSUES. -BL
MARINE
ISSUED AT 135 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOSTLY FAVORABLE WINDS AND SEAS
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. WINDS WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
ONSHORE AT OR LESS THAN 10 KNOTS. WINDS AND SEA WILL INCREASE IN AND
AROUND SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 69 93 70 93 / 0 0 0 0
BTR 70 94 71 95 / 0 0 0 10
ASD 71 94 70 93 / 10 10 0 10
MSY 77 95 77 95 / 10 20 0 20
GPT 73 93 74 93 / 20 10 10 10
PQL 72 94 71 93 / 20 20 10 10
LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...MSW
LONG TERM....MSW
AVIATION...BL
MARINE...MSW
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