949
FXUS64 KLIX 151750
AFDLIX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1250 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1249 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
THINGS WILL REMAIN QUIET THROUGH MIDWEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT
REMAINS IN CONTROL OF THE AREA WEATHER. EXPECT OVERNIGHT LOWS TO
BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN NORMAL, WITH WARMER THAN NORMAL
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES, AND NO SIGNIFICANT RAIN CHANCES.
WHILE SUBSIDENCE ALOFT WILL SUPPRESS MOST CONVECTION, A COUPLE
STRAY SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON SO WILL
CONTINUE TO CARRY SILENT 10 POPS EACH AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1249 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
GOING INTO THE LATTER PART OF THE WORK WEEK, AN UPPER TROUGH/LOW
WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. BEST
INSTABILITY AND RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN WELL NORTH OF THE LOCAL
AREA, BUT IT SHOULD HELP ALLOW A FEW MORE SHOWERS TO DEVELOP EACH
AFTERNOON. COVERAGE CURRENTLY LOOKS ISOLATED AT BEST, BUT IT'S
BETTER THAN NOTHING, RIGHT?
ANYWAY, OTHER THAN THE SMALL UPTICK IN RAIN CHANCES, FORECAST
CONTINUES TO BE GENERALLY PERSISTENCE FROM THE SHORT TERM WITH
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S AND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 90S
DAILY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1249 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS AND FAIR SKIES. ONE OR TWO SHOWERS COULD POP UP
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY AND AGAIN TOMORROW MORNING,
BUT PROBABILITY AT ANY GIVEN LOCATION IS FAR TOO LOW TO MENTION
IN ANY OF THE TAFS AT THIS TIME.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1249 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
CONTINUED BENIGN CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE WATERS AS
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE
WORK WEEK. WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT WITH A GENERAL EASTERLY
COMPONENT OVER THE WATERS. THE INNER WATERS, SOUNDS, AND TIDAL LAKES
WILL CONTINUE TO BE INFLUENCED BY DAILY FLUCTUATIONS FROM SEA/LAKE
BREEZE TO LAND BREEZE. WAVES AND SEAS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 1-2
FT FOR NEARSHORE AND PROTECTED WATERS WITH 2-4 FT IN THE OUTER
WATERS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 69 90 68 90 / 0 10 0 10
BTR 71 93 70 92 / 0 10 0 10
ASD 67 90 66 90 / 0 0 0 10
MSY 74 92 73 92 / 0 0 0 10
GPT 70 89 69 89 / 0 0 0 0
PQL 66 90 65 90 / 0 0 0 0
LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...DM
LONG TERM....DM
AVIATION...DM
MARINE...DM
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