601
FXUS64 KLIX 081754
AFDLIX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1254 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1254 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
- OUTSIDE OF A STRAY SHOWER TODAY, DRIER AND COOLER WEATHER IS
FORECAST FOR THE AREA THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND.
- HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS IS FORECAST FOR MUCH OF THE OUTER
COASTAL WATERS OF LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI STARTING TODAY,
THEN INCLUDING THE TIDAL LAKES AND SOUNDS TOMORROW AND LIKELY
FRIDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1254 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
GENERAL UPPER LEVEL RIDGING FROM OVER TEXAS TO LOUISIANA AND THEN
A DEEPENING TROUGH OVER THE EAST COAST WILL MOVE EASTWARD WHICH
SHOULD KEEP THE AREA DRY OUTSIDE OF A STRAY SHOWER ON LAND TODAY.
TODAY AND TOMORROW WILL STILL BE ABOVE AVERAGE WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S, BUT A COOL FRONT MOVES SOUTHWARD INTO THE AREA WHICH
SHOULD HELP BRING IN COOLER AND DRIER AIR FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
LAND AREAS SHOULD STAY DRY ON THURSDAY WITH ANY RAIN CHANCES
PUSHED OFFSHORE.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1254 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL EVENTUALLY SETTLE RIGHT ON TOP OF
LOUISIANA. DRY AND COOLER CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER THAN
WHAT WE HAVE BEEN SEEING WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW 80S WITH THE LOWS
GENERALLY BEING IN THE 60S. HUMIDITY WILL ALSO BE LOWER WITH IT
MAXING OUT IN THE 60S OR EVEN THE HIGH 50S IN SOUTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1254 PM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS IS FORECAST FOR ALL TERMINALS FOR THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF A STRAY SHOWER OR STORM
BUT THE CHANCES ARE SO LOW LEFT IT OUT. NO FOG IS EXPECTED
TOMORROW MORNING AS A FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE
TONIGHT INTO EARLY TOMORROW.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1148 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST AND LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
SOUTHERN GULF WILL TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AGAIN OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS. SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION HEADLINES WILL BE IN
EFFECT DURING THE DAY AND TOMORROW FOR NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 15 TO 20
KNOTS. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING INTO THE WATERS TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY MAY NECESSITATE A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR AT LEAST PART OF
THE WATERS THURSDAY AND ESPECIALLY FRIDAY. SOME IMPROVEMENT IN WIND
AND WAVE CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR ON SATURDAY OVER THE PROTECTED
WATERS, BUT PERHAPS NOT UNTIL SUNDAY OVER THE OUTER WATERS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 86 65 84 61 / 10 10 0 0
BTR 90 68 88 63 / 10 0 0 0
ASD 88 67 87 64 / 10 10 0 0
MSY 90 73 88 71 / 10 20 0 0
GPT 88 69 87 66 / 10 10 10 0
PQL 88 67 87 63 / 10 10 10 10
LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...BL
LONG TERM....BL
AVIATION...BL
MARINE...BL
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