989
FNUS74 KLIX 281902
FWSLIX
SPOT FORECAST FOR INCIDENT ROSELAND EVENT...TANGIPAHOA PARISH EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
102 PM CST SUN DEC 28 2025
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
WE CAN BE REACHED AT (985) 649-0357 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS
WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
THE NEXT COLD FRONT IS DUE INTO THE REGION EARLY MONDAY. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL SHARPLY DROP BEHIND THE FRONT GENERALLY
BETWEEN 25 TO 35 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH INCREASING
WINDS. SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONT, WHICH
MAY HELP LIMIT SOME CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. BUT
CONDITIONS SHOULD STILL BE FAVORABLE FOR ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS DUE TO HIGHER WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES ON MONDAY. BY
TUESDAY, WINDS BECOME A LITTLE MORE LACKLUSTER, DESPITE THE
CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
MAX APPARENT TEMP...79.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...366-1097 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 METERS/SECOND.
CEILING (KFT).......5.8 INCREASING TO 11.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
TIME (CST) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........48 53 61 68
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20
TEMP............79 77 77 75
RH..............67 74 71 76
APARNT TMP (F)..79 77 77 75
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW SSW SSW SSW
20 FT WIND SPD..13 12 12 9
20 FT WIND GUST.20 18 18 16
SURFACE WND DIR.SSW SSW SSW SSW
SURFACE WND SPD.13 12 12 9
SURFACE WND GST.20 18 18 16
MIX HGT (KM)....1.1 0.9 0.8 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW SSW SSW SSW
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 16 15 12
TRANS WIND DIR..SSW SSW SSW SSW
TRANS SPD (M/S).8 7 7 5
CEILING (KFT)...5.8 7.3 7.3 11
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
OVERNIGHT. PATCHY FOG LATE IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
MAX APPARENT TEMP...71.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH
OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 13 TO 20
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 32 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...152-610 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 12 MPH OVERNIGHT, THEN INCREASING TO
NORTH 21 TO 30 MPH OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH AROUND 5 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 4 TO 5 METERS/SECOND IN THE EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT, THEN INCREASING TO NORTH 9 TO 13
METERS/SECOND OVERNIGHT.
CEILING (KFT).......11 INCREASING TO 25 IN THE EVENING, THEN
DECREASING TO 1.1 LATE IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO 0.9 OVERNIGHT INCREASING TO 1.3
INCREASING TO 2.2 OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH
OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 9 TO 16
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 32 MPH OVERNIGHT.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........68 66 73 68 72 75 71 82 85 89 86 83
WEATHER COV.....SCH PTY CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW FOG RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 0 0 10 30 60 60 70 30 10
TEMP............71 69 68 67 67 66 66 65 64 61 56 51
RH..............87 93 93 100 100 100 100 97 90 87 80 77
APARNT TMP (F)..71 69 68 67 67 66 66 65 64 61 56 51
20 FT WIND DIR..S SSW SSW SSW SSW SW SW WSW NW NNW N N
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 6 6 6 8 13 15 17 20
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 15 15 15 15 15 20 24 26 30 32
SURFACE WND DIR.S SSW SSW SSW SSW SW SW WSW NW NNW N N
SURFACE WND SPD.7 7 7 6 6 6 6 8 13 15 17 20
SURFACE WND GST.16 16 15 15 15 15 15 20 24 26 30 32
MIX HGT (KM)....0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW SSW SSW SSW SW WSW WSW W NW NNW N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 10 10 10 9 12 21 21 26 30
TRANS WIND DIR..SSW SSW SSW SSW SW WSW WSW W NW NNW N N
TRANS SPD (M/S).5 5 5 4 4 4 4 5 9 9 12 13
CEILING (KFT)...11 25 25 25 25 1.1 0.9 1.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
MIN APPARENT TEMP...38.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 33 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...792-1006 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 22 TO 31 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTH 10 TO 14 METERS/SECOND DECREASING TO
AROUND 8 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CEILING (KFT).......2.7 INCREASING TO 25.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 33 MPH.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........78 81 71 75 59 58 42 45 37 27 36 39
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............49 47 46 47 49 51 52 52 52 52 51 48
RH..............63 56 51 45 39 33 31 31 31 31 32 35
APARNT TMP (F)..42 40 38 40 42 51 52 52 52 52 51 42
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..20 20 20 20 20 20 18 18 17 16 16 15
20 FT WIND GUST.33 32 30 29 28 26 25 25 25 24 24 23
SURFACE WND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
SURFACE WND SPD.20 20 20 20 20 20 18 18 17 16 16 15
SURFACE WND GST.33 32 30 29 28 26 25 25 25 24 24 23
MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.31 30 29 28 25 24 23 23 23 22 22 18
TRANS WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANS SPD (M/S).14 13 13 13 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 8
CEILING (KFT)...2.7 4.5 5.8 7.3 8.5 16 25 25 25 25 25 25
FORECASTER...BANNAN
REQUESTED BY...DAWSON PRIMES
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 2528063.1/LIX
.DELDT 12/28/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL VTRAVIS@TANGIPAHOA.ORG,SR-LIX.FORECASTERS@NOAA.GOV,DAWSON.PRIMES@TANGIPAHOA.ORG,SSRESPONSE@RESPONSEGROUPINC.COM
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