409
FXUS64 KLIX 110511
AFDLIX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1111 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 754 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
* A SIGNIFICANT COOL DOWN IS FORECAST FOLLOWING TODAY'S COLD
FRONT. LOW TEMPERATURES NEAR OR JUST BELOW FREEZING ARE FORECAST
FOR MOST PLACES THAT ARE GENERALLY ALONG/NORTH OF THE I-10/12
CORRIDOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNINGS. ANY FREEZING TEMPERATURES
SHOULD ONLY LAST A FEW HOURS. RESIDENTS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO
PROTECT SENSITIVE VEGETATION AND ENSURE OUTDOOR PETS HAVE ACCESS
TO WARM SHELTER.
* ACCORDING TO THE NATIONAL FIRE PROTECTION ASSOCIATION, NEARLY
HALF OF ALL HOME FIRES OCCUR BETWEEN THE MONTHS OF DECEMBER,
JANUARY AND FEBRUARY, WITH THE INCREASED RISK ATTRIBUTED TO THE
USE OF HOME HEATING DEVICES SUCH AS PORTABLE SPACE HEATERS AND
FIRE PLACES. THOSE PLANNING TO USE SUCH DEVICES DURING THIS COLD
SNAP SHOULD BE SURE TO FOLLOW ALL MANUFACTURER SAFETY
RECOMMENDATIONS SUCH AS USING A SCREEN AND KEEPING A FIRE
EXTINGUISHER NEAR ALL FIRE PLACES AND ENSURING ALL SPACE
HEATERS ARE PLUGGED DIRECTLY INTO WALL OUTLETS AND PLACED ON
LEVEL SURFACES AT LEAST 3 FT FROM ANY FLAMMABLE MATERIALS.
* IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT, STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE
IN EFFECT FROM 6P THIS EVENING THROUGH 6A MONDAY. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 754 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
WELL THAT WAS A LOT OF RAIN WITHIN A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD MAINLY
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TODAY. THE WINNER WAS CLINTON, MS
0.4NW WITH 7.08 INCHES. THIS DATA COMES FROM THE COOPERATIVE
OBVSERVER NETWORK. THE PEOPLE THAT DO THIS SERVICE ARE INVALUABLE
AND THEY ALL TAKE A LOT TIME AND EFFORT TO TAKE AND XMIT THESE
READINGS DAILY AND/OR WHEN MEASUREABLE WEATHER IS TAKING PLACE.
AFTER THAT, WE ALL DESERVE SOME TRANQUIL WX FOR A BIT ESPECIALLY
WITH MARDI GRAS SEASON ALREADY KICKED OFF WITH TWELFTH NIGHT JAN
6TH. THE SEASON ENDS WITH MARDI GRAS DAY, FEB 17TH. WE WILL GET
SOME TRANQUIL BUT COOL WX FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS BUT THERE ARE SOME
QUICK CHANGES COMING DURING THIS WEEK.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 754 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
THIS WEEK WILL ADVERTISE TWO SYSTEMS. THE FIRST WILL BE VERY WEAK
AND ONLY PRODUCE CLOUD COVER FOR MOST WITH SOME LIGHT RAIN MOVING
THROUGH LATE TUE NIGHT INTO WED THEN THE SAME COOL DRY CONDITIONS
COME BACK FOR LATE WED THROUGH FRI. BASICALLY, A REINFORCING COLD
FRONT. AFTER THIS, A QUICK WARMING AND MOISTENING WILL OCCUR FRI
WITH THE ADVANCE OF THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM THAT DOES LOOK TO
CAUSE AREA WIDE STORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND ANOTHER ROUND OF
SEVERE WX POSSIBILITIES. THIS UNFORTUNATELY OCCURS BY THE WEEKEND.
EXACTLY WHICH DAY AND TIME OF DAY IT WILL BRING THE WORST WX IS
STILL UP FOR DEBATE. UNFORTUNATELY, A SYSTEM LIKE THIS MAKES IT
VERY HARD TO ENJOY THE FESTIVITIES OVER THE WEEKEND. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO LOOK INTO THIS TO PIN DOWN THE WHAT, WHEN, WHERE AS WE
GET CLOSER TO NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 754 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
VFR THROUGH THIS CYCLE. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY MAINLY AT COASTAL
TERMINALS BUT WILL EASE THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 754 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL REMAIN THROUGH 6AM MONDAY WITH
NORTHERLY WINDS AROUND 25KT. WINDS WILL SLOWLY LOWER THROUGH TUE
WHILE A SURFACE HIGH MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF WATERS LATE TUE. A
WEST WIND WILL BEGIN AS THE HIGH MOVES SE BY WEDNESDAY. WEST WINDS
WILL RISE AHEAD OF A REINFORCING COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH LATE WED
BRINGING WINDS AROUND TO NW 20-25KT WED NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 69 40 56 31 / 80 10 0 0
BTR 71 42 59 33 / 80 0 0 0
ASD 74 42 60 31 / 80 0 0 0
MSY 75 48 61 40 / 70 0 0 0
GPT 73 45 59 34 / 80 0 0 0
PQL 75 43 60 31 / 80 10 0 0
LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST MONDAY FOR GMZ530-532-534-
536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST MONDAY FOR GMZ532-534-536-
538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.
SHORT TERM...TE
LONG TERM....TE
AVIATION...TE
MARINE...TE
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