847  
FXUS64 KLIX 122024  
AFDLIX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA  
224 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026  
   
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
UPDATED AT 157 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026  
 
* LOW TEMPERATURES NEAR OR JUST BELOW FREEZING ARE FORECAST FOR  
MOST PLACES THAT ARE GENERALLY ALONG/NORTH OF THE I-10/12  
CORRIDOR TUESDAY MORNING. ANY FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE  
FORECAST TO LAST ONLY A FEW HOURS. HOWEVER, RESIDENTS SHOULD  
TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT SENSITIVE VEGETATION AND ENSURE OUTDOOR  
PETS HAVE ACCESS TO WARM SHELTER.  
 
* ACCORDING TO THE NATIONAL FIRE PROTECTION ASSOCIATION, NEARLY  
HALF OF ALL HOME FIRES OCCUR BETWEEN THE MONTHS OF DECEMBER,  
JANUARY AND FEBRUARY, WITH THE INCREASED RISK ATTRIBUTED TO THE  
USE OF HOME HEATING DEVICES SUCH AS PORTABLE SPACE HEATERS AND  
FIREPLACES. THOSE PLANNING TO USE SUCH DEVICES DURING THIS COLD  
SNAP SHOULD SAFETY RECOMMENDATIONS - SUCH AS USING A SCREEN AND  
KEEPING A FIRE EXTINGUISHER NEAR ALL FIRE PLACES; AND ENSURING  
ALL SPACE HEATERS ARE PLUGGED DIRECTLY INTO WALL OUTLETS AND  
PLACED ON LEVEL SURFACES AT LEAST 3 FT FROM ANY FLAMMABLE  
MATERIALS.  
 
 
   
SHORT TERM  
 
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 157 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026  
 
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING, NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED,  
LOOKING AT THE MODELS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD AGAIN TUESDAY  
MORNING AND COOL, BUT SLIGHTLY WARMER WEDNESDAY MORNING. HIGH  
TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER 50S WITH LOWS ON  
TUESDAY MORNING JUST ABOVE FREEZING, IN THE MID 30S. LOWS ON  
WEDNESDAY WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 40S ACROSS THE AREA AS WE WARM  
UP BRIEFLY. GENERALLY, A DRY AND COOL COUPLE OF DAYS AHEAD. MSW  
 
 
   
LONG TERM  
 
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 157 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026  
 
A REINFORCING DRY COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA  
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. LOOKING AT THE MODELS, THERE WILL BE VERY  
LITTLE, IF ANY, RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. BUT IT WILL  
BRING COOL AND DRY AIR BACK INTO THE REGION. LOWS ON THURSDAY WILL  
BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE FRONT. FRIDAY  
WILL BE THE COLDEST DAY IN THE LONG TERM FORECAST WITH  
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOW 30S FOR MOST OF THE AREA.  
TEMPERATURES WARM UP ABOUT 5-10 DEGREES FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY  
BEFORE ANOTHER REINFORCEMENT OF COOL AIR ARRIVES SUNDAY INTO EARLY  
NEXT WEEK. MSW  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(18Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 157 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026  
 
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL AT ALL AREA AIRPORTS AND WILL PERSIST  
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MSW  
 
 
   
MARINE  
 
ISSUED AT 157 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026  
 
WINDS WILL SLOWLY LOWER THROUGH TUE WHILE A SURFACE HIGH MOVES INTO  
THE NORTHERN GULF WATERS LATE TUE. A WEST WIND WILL BEGIN AS THE  
HIGH MOVES SE BY WEDNESDAY. WEST WINDS WILL RISE AHEAD OF A  
REINFORCING COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH LATE WED BRINGING WINDS AROUND  
TO NW 20-25KT WED INTO THURSDAY. THIS TIME FRAME WILL LIKELY NEED  
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HEADLINES AGAIN. NW WINDS WILL BEGIN TO EASE  
AGAIN LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY  
FRIDAY WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT TO ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH THE DAY AND RISE  
INTO THE WEEKEND.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
MCB 33 59 42 61 / 0 0 30 10  
BTR 34 60 44 65 / 0 10 20 0  
ASD 31 60 43 64 / 0 0 20 0  
MSY 42 60 47 67 / 0 0 20 0  
GPT 35 58 45 63 / 0 0 20 10  
PQL 30 60 41 63 / 0 0 20 10  
 
 
   
LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
LA...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  
MS...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
SHORT TERM...MSW  
LONG TERM....MSW  
AVIATION...MSW  
MARINE...MSW  
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