420
FNUS74 KLIX 070213
FWSLIX
SPOT FORECAST FOR PAPER FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
813 PM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
WE CAN BE REACHED AT (985) 649-0357 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS
WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
THE REST OF TONIGHT WILL SEE RH VALUES CONTINUE TO CLIMB TO AROUND 85
PERCENT SHORTLY BEFORE DAYBREAK. A COLD FRONT WILL ALSO MOVE OVER THE
BURN SITE AROUND 10 PM. THIS WILL CAUSE WINDS TO SHIFT FROM THE WEST TO
THE NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS WILL REMAIN
ELEVATED AT 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH THROUGH THE NIGHT. TOMORROW
WILL SEE WINDS TURN MORE NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY AND REMAIN GUSTY WITH
SUSTAINED WINDS OF AROUND 8 MPH AND GUSTS OF 15 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
HOURS. RH VALUES WILL FALL QUICKLY IN THE MORNING HOURS FROM NEAR 80 PERCENT
AT DAYBREAK TO BETWEEN 30 AND 35 PERCENT IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. IF
TEMPERATURES WARM 2 TO 3 DEGREES MORE THAN EXPECTED, AS THEY DID TODAY, THE
RH VALUES COULD FALL AS LOW AS 25 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
1. IF TEMPERATURES WARM 2 TO 3 DEGREES MORE THAN EXPECTED, RH VALUES WILL
FALL BETWEEN 5 AND 10 PERCENT BELOW THE CURRENT FORECAST.
2. THERE IS A ZERO PERCENT CHANCE OF FOG DEVELOPMENT DUE TO BOTH DRY AIR
AND ELEVATED WINDS REMAINING IN PLACE.
3. YES, THE WINDS WILL TURN NORTHERLY IN THE NEXT 2 TO 3 HOURS AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES OVER THE BURN SITE. THESE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO
TOMORROW.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............44 DECREASING TO 39 EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX APPARENT TEMP...60.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-366 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 14
TO 15 MPH OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.WEST AROUND 6 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH 6 TO 7 METERS/SECOND OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............4.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 4 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH UP TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
TIME (CST) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........2 3 3 3 3 2 4 5 3 2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............60 57 53 53 52 50 50 48 46 45
DEWPOINT........44 45 46 46 46 46 44 43 42 39
RH..............54 65 77 77 80 86 80 83 86 79
APARNT TMP (F)..60 57 53 53 52 48 47 44 42 41
20 FT WIND DIR..W WNW NW NNW N N N N NNE NNE
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 7 8 8 7
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 13 13 14 15 16 15 15
EYE LVL WND DIR.W WNW NW NNW N N N N NNE NNE
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 4
EYE LVL WND GST.7 7 8 8 8 8 9 10 9 9
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W WNW NW NNW N N NNE NNE NNE NNE
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 12 12 14 15 15 15 15 15
TRANS WIND DIR..W WNW NW NNW N N NNE NNE NNE NNE
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 7
LVORI...........3 3 4 4 4 5 4 4 5 4
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............37.
MIN APPARENT TEMP...38.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...305-975 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTH 4 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.
LVORI...............3.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........4 2 2 2 1 1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............44 45 53 60 63 62
DEWPOINT........39 38 37 35 35 35
RH..............82 76 54 39 35 36
APARNT TMP (F)..40 41 53 60 63 62
20 FT WIND DIR..NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 9 8 8 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 12
EYE LVL WND DIR.NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 5 5 5 5 4
EYE LVL WND GST.9 9 9 9 9 7
MIX HGT (M).....340 460 550 700 880 670
TRANSP WIND DIR.NNE NNE NNE N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 15 13 12 13 12
TRANS WIND DIR..NNE NNE NNE N N N
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 7 6 5 6 5
LVORI...........5 3 2 1 1 1
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............34 DECREASING TO 31 AFTER 3 AM.
MIN APPARENT TEMP...37.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-152 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE
EAST AROUND 3 METERS/SECOND EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
LVORI...............3.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........4 4 3 4 5 5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............56 48 45 43 40 38
DEWPOINT........36 35 34 33 32 31
RH..............47 60 65 67 73 76
APARNT TMP (F)..56 47 44 43 40 38
20 FT WIND DIR..NNE NNE NE NE ENE ENE
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 2 2 1
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 7 7 6 6
EYE LVL WND DIR.NNE NNE NE NE ENE ENE
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 1 1 1
EYE LVL WND GST.5 4 4 4 4 4
MIX HGT (M).....120 120 120 150 120 90
TRANSP WIND DIR.NNE NE NE ENE ENE E
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 8 7 6
TRANS WIND DIR..NNE NE NE ENE ENE E
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 3 3
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 3 4
FORECASTER...GRIGSBY
REQUESTED BY...ROSALYN VELASQUEZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2601963.0/LIX
.DELDT 02/06/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CLIFTON.WILLIS@USDA.GOV,MSMIC@FIRENET.GOV
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