101
FNUS74 KLIX 211208
FWSLIX
SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO BLOCK 0250...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
608 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
WE CAN BE REACHED AT (985) 649-0357 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS
WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH AT LEAST
SATURDAY AS A WARM AND HUMID AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE. MINIMUM RH
VALUES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE 50 PERCENT WITH ONSHORE WINDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 15 MPH. WHILE SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE IN THE FORECAST TO
CLOSE OUT THE WEEK, RAINFALL TOTALS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN LOW,
WITH LITTLE IMPROVEMENT IN ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS. MUCH COOLER
AND DRIER AIR MASS MOVING IN BEHIND A PASSING COLD FRONT LATER
TODAY, WHICH WILL PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
ADDITIONAL FORECAST NOTES
WE WILL SEE A COLD FRONT PASS THE AREA(S) TODAY BETWEEN 3 AND 6PM
CT, PROVIDING GUSTY WINDS AND A WIND SHIFT FROM THE NORTHWEST.
COULD SEE SOME SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE FRONT AS IT
PASSES, PRODUCING LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS.
QUESTIONS
1. WHAT ARE THE CHANCES FOR FOG FORMATION DENSITY AND COVERAGE WITH
SUPER-FOG POTENTIAL?
FOG CHANCES ARE LOW (AROUND 10%). CHANCE FOR DENSE FOG
IS VERY LOW (<10%).
2. WILL WE SEE ANY CHANCE OF A SEA-BREEZE FORMATION IN THE NEXT FEW
DAYS?
NO DEFINITE RISK FOR A SEABREEZE BOUNDARY DUE TO PERSISTENT SW TO SSW WINDS.
3. WILL WE SEE ANY GUST PROFILE ABOVE 25 MPH OVER THE NEXT FEW BURN
DAYS?
STILL LOOKING VERY LIKELY DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............69.
MAX APPARENT TEMP...84.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...183-853 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE
WEST AROUND 5 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.07 INCHES.
TIME (CST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........90 79 74 63 54 61
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY S CHC S CHC CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 50 60
TEMP............69 72 76 80 81 78
DEWPOINT........68 70 69 69 68 68
RH..............97 93 79 69 65 71
APARNT TMP (F)..69 72 76 83 84 78
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW SSW SW WSW WSW W
20 FT WIND SPD..6 8 10 10 10 8
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 16 17 16 13
MIX HGT (M).....180 460 790 850 850 460
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW SW WSW WSW WSW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 13 14 14 15 12
TRANS WIND DIR..SSW SW WSW WSW WSW W
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 6 6 6 7 5
LVORI...........9 8 4 4 3 4
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............66 DECREASING TO 37.
MIN APPARENT TEMP...39.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH 16 TO 17 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...213-610 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 23
TO 28 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTH 5 TO 13 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 7 TO 9 METERS/SECOND EARLY IN THE
EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10 TO 13
METERS/SECOND IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............4.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.12 INCHES.
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........69 68 67 45 29 7
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 10 0 0 0
TEMP............74 69 64 59 54 48
DEWPOINT........68 65 59 53 46 39
RH..............82 87 84 80 74 71
APARNT TMP (F)..74 69 64 59 54 41
20 FT WIND DIR..WNW NNW NNW NNW N N
20 FT WIND SPD..6 9 13 17 18 18
20 FT WIND GUST.12 15 18 24 26 26
MIX HGT (M).....210 340 580 550 550 460
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NNW N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 15 25 25 28 26
TRANS WIND DIR..NW NNW N N N N
TRANS SPD (M/S).5 7 11 11 13 12
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 3 3
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............33 DECREASING TO 23.
MIN APPARENT TEMP...36.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 15 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
29 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...366-1615 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 23 TO 32 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 22 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTH 10 TO 14 METERS/SECOND DECREASING TO
AROUND 10 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........2 3 1 2 3 4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............45 45 50 55 56 54
DEWPOINT........35 33 29 26 24 23
RH..............68 63 44 32 29 30
APARNT TMP (F)..37 37 44 55 56 54
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NNW NNW NNW
20 FT WIND SPD..18 18 18 17 17 17
20 FT WIND GUST.25 29 28 29 29 25
MIX HGT (M).....370 670 1010 1280 1580 1460
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 29 31 30 32 28
TRANS WIND DIR..N N N N N N
TRANS SPD (M/S).10 13 14 13 14 13
LVORI...........3 3 2 2 2 2
FORECASTER...GILMORE
REQUESTED BY...CLIFF WILLIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602853.4/LIX
.DELDT 02/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CLIFTON.WILLIS@USDA.GOV
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