034
FXUS64 KLIX 102348
AFDLIX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
648 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 644 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026
- PATCHY LIGHT TO MODERATE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT MAINLY
ALONG THE COAST AND OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MS BUT OVERALL THE
THREAT OF DENSE FOG APPEARS LOW.
- A STRONG TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY.
THIS WILL DRIVE A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION WITH SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IMPACTING THE AREA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BRING A
FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER
POSSIBLE, AND THE ENTIRE AREA WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF SEEING
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS. RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THE FORECAST FOR UPDATES AS THIS THREAT EVOLVES.
- IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT, MUCH COOLER AND
DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA FOR ABOUT 36 TO 48 HOURS.
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE QUICKLY FOR THE WEEKEND, BUT ANOTHER
SHOT OF MUCH COOLER AIR WILL ARRIVE SUNDAY NIGHT.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 1155 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026
THE REST OF THE DAY TODAY THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON APPEAR
BENIGN. SKIES WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY, TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE
NORMAL BY 10-15 DEGREES, AND WINDS FROM 10-15 MPH OUT OF THE SOUTH
THEN A NORTHERN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH COMBINED WITH THE REMNANTS OF A
CUTOFF LOW PULL A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA. AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT, THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH
POSSIBILITIES OF STRONG WINDS, HAIL, AND A WEAK TORNADO. RAIN IS A
DEFINITE WITH THE HIGHEST AREAS BEING IN THE 2 INCH RANGE.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1155 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026
AFTER THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH, WE'LL HAVE A COUPLE OF DAYS/NIGHTS
OF COOLER TEMPERATURES WITH WARMING BEGINNING ON FRIDAY NIGHT AND
TAKING US BACK INTO ABOVE NORMAL RANGES. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER LOOKS TO BE LATE SUNDAY OR EARLY MONDAY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 644 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026
ONLY FORECAST TERMINAL WITH FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS AT ISSUANCE TIME
WAS KGPT WHERE CEILINGS WERE BOUNCING BETWEEN MVFR AND IFR WITH
CEILINGS FL008-010 IN THE AREA. THEY MAY SEE SOME IMPROVEMENT
BRIEFLY THIS EVENING, BUT EVEN IF THEY DO, IT WON'T LAST LONG.
MOST OR ALL TERMINALS WILL SEE MVFR CEILINGS DEVELOP AND GRADUALLY
LOWER TO NEAR FL010 OR LOWER. EXPECT IMPROVEMENT TO MVFR BY MID-
MORNING WEDNESDAY, WITH MOST AT VFR AROUND MIDDAY. ANY SIGNIFICANT
THREAT OF TSRA WILL LIKELY HOLD OFF UNTIL BEYOND 00Z THURSDAY.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1155 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026
THE LOW PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST DRIVE
ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH THE TIMEFRAME OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE FROM TEH CURRENT 5-10
KT TO AROUND 15 KT IMMEDIATELY PRECEEDING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
SCY CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY DEVELOP AND WE COULD EVEN SEE A
PERIOD OF GALE CONDITIONS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
ACCOMPANY THE FRONT AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS
WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THESE STORMS COULD
ALSO BRING VERY STRONG LOCALIZED MARINE WINDS AND EVEN A FEW
WATERSPOUTS.
LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...DS
LONG TERM....DS
AVIATION...RW
MARINE...DS
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