733
FXUS64 KLIX 242327
AFDLIX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
627 PM CDT TUE MAR 24 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 623 PM CDT TUE MAR 24 2026
- PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY,
POSSIBLY EVEN RECORD BREAKING TEMPERATURES.
- OUTSIDE OF SOME POSSIBLE SPRINKLES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON NO RAIN
IN THE FORECAST.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1156 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2026
THE LINGERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH THROUGH TOMORROW. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO BE A MOSTLY DRY FRONT WITH A FEW SPRINKLES POSSIBLE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. POPS ARE GENERALLY BELOW 15% FOR MOST OF THE
REGION. APART FROM THAT, THE SHORT TERM FORECAST WILL BE DRY
OVERALL WITH LITTLE TO NO APPRECIABLE RAINFALL. TEMPERATURES WILL
BE MUCH WARMER THAN AVERAGE WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 80S
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH SOME LOCATIONS IN THE UPPER 80S FRIDAY.
GENERALLY, A WARM, BUT DRY FORECAST.
SOME PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY MORNING, LOOKING
AT THE MODELS. THERE WILL BE PATCHES OF FOG, BUT IT SHOULD
GENERALLY STAY ABOVE 1SM VISIBILITY, SO A DENSE FOG ADVISORY WAS
NOT ISSUED. MSW
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1156 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2026
THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY, HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA, AS
CONDITIONS REMAIN DRY OVERALL. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MILD WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S AND MUCH LESS HUMID ON THE BACKSIDE
OF THE FRONTAL SYSTEM.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 623 PM CDT TUE MAR 24 2026
CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SOME FOG AND LOW STRATUS DEVELOPMENT
TO OCCUR TONIGHT AS WINDS FALL TO NEAR CALM AND LOW LEVEL HUMIDITY
REMAINS HIGH. A REVIEW OF FOG PROBABILITIES HAS THE HIGHEST CHANCE
OF FOG AND LOW STRATUS DEVELOPMENT, IN THE 50 TO 70 PERCENT CHANGE
RANGE, AT HUM AND MSY. LOWER PROBABILITIES OF 30 TO 50 PERCENT
AREA IN PLACE AT NEW, HDC, AND BTR DUE TO COMBINATION OF SLIGHTLY
GREATER BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING AT NEW AND SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR AT HDC
AND BTR. ALL OF THESE STATIONS WILL EXPERIENCE IFR AND LIFR
STRATUS CONDITIONS FROM AROUND 10Z THROUGH 14Z, BUT FOG WILL BE
MOST IMPACTFUL AT MSY AND HUM BETWEEN 12Z AND 14Z WHEN THE SURFACE
BASED INVERSION IS STRONGEST. BEYOND THE FOG AND LOW STRATUS
IMPACTS IN THE MORNING HOURS, VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE AT
ALL OF THE TERMINALS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1156 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2026
THE WEAK FRONT CONTINUES TO DRIFT SOUTH AND SHOULD EVENTUALLY STALL
NEAR THE COAST. WITH THAT WE WILL SEE GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS THROUGH TODAY AND TONIGHT. TOMORROW AS HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES A
LITTLE MORE ESTABLISHED TO THE NORTHEAST WE WILL SEE RETURN FLOW SET
BACK UP OVER THE REGION. EXPECT THAT TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF
THE WORK WEEK WITH THE NEXT FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE REGION LATE
FRIDAY/EARLY THIS WEEKEND.
LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...MSW
LONG TERM....MSW
AVIATION...PG
MARINE...MSW
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