962
FXUS65 KLKN 170908
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
108 AM PST MON FEB 17 2025
SYNOPSIS
A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
TODAY, BRINGING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO MOSTLY LOCATIONS NORTH OF
I-80. THIS SYSTEM WILL EXIT TONIGHT, WITH UPPER LEVEL RIDGING
BUILDING INTO THE AREA FOR TUESDAY, HELPING TO DRY THINGS OUT
TEMPORARILY. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM IS SET TO MOVE THROUGH MID-
WEEK, WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS DEVELOPING
ACROSS THE AREA.
SHORT TERM
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. CURRENT SATELLITE LOOP
THIS MORNING IS SHOWING ECHOES MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN HUMBOLDT
EAST INTO NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY. REMOTE OBSERVATION SITES IN THESE
AREAS ARE REPORTING VERY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF 0.05 INCHES OR
LESS. TEMPERATURES ARE GENERALLY NEAR FREEZING AT THIS TIME ACROSS
THE NORTH WITH MID 30S TO MID 40S ELSEWHERE.
FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT, MODEL SIMULATIONS ARE DEPICTING AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WITH A WEST-NORTHWEST
FLOW OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OVER LOCALES NORTH OF AND INCLUDING I-80
THROUGH THIS EVENING. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE
MID 30S ACROSS THE NORTH NEAR THE IDAHO BORDER TO THE UPPER 40S
TO LOW 50S IN CENTRAL NEVADA. WINDS WILL BE LOCALLY BREEZY WITH
INTERMITTENT GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN SPOTS. THE TROUGH AXIS IS
EXPECTED TO SHIFT ACROSS, THEN EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHEAST IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST WITH LIMITED ACCUMULATIONS. FOR THE PERIOD
BEGINNING MONDAY MORNING THROUGH THE NIGHT, SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF
ONE TO THREE INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY WITH
ABOUT TWO TO SIX INCHES ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. FOR OTHER
LOCATIONS IN NORTHEAST NEVADA, UP TO A HALF INCH IS EXPECTED.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT.
FOR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. A TRANSITORY UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD
INTO THE REGION. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE DRY FOR TUESDAY
WITH PERIODS OF SUN AND CLOUDS. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
BE A BIT ON THE COOL SIDE WITH READINGS IN THE LOW TO UPPER 40S
ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT EXCEPT FOR LOCATIONS ON THE
LEE-SIDE OF MOUNTAIN RANGES IN THE EAST AS WELL AS NORTHEASTERN
ELKO COUNTY WHERE WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. THE CALM
WEATHER WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES IN
FROM THE EAST PACIFIC, BRINGING INCREASING CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION IN NORTH-CENTRAL NEVADA TUESDAY NIGHT. OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL BE IN THE TEENS AND 20S.
LONG TERM
WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY
WARMER, DRY WEATHER WILL LAST UNTIL WEDNESDAY, WHEN A COLD FRONT
AND LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVE THROUGH, BRINGING PRECIPITATION AND
COOLER TEMPERATURES THRU THURSDAY AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
WEDNESDAY MORNING LOWS WILL BE IN THE TEENS AND UPPER 20S, THEN
AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL WARM TO THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S.
THURSDAY MORNING LOWS WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S, WITH
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES COOLING TO THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S DUE
TO THE COLD FRONT. LESS THAN ONE INCH OF SNOW AND BETWEEN TRACE
AND 0.25 INCHES OF RAIN/LIQUID EQUIVALENT IS FORECAST FOR THE
LOWER ELEVATION VALLEYS. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW AND BETWEEN 0.25
AND 0.50 INCHES OF RAIN/LIQUID EQUIVALENT IS FORECAST FOR HIGHER
ELEVATION ROADWAYS AND MOUNTAIN PASSES. UP TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW
AND UP TO 0.75 INCHES OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT IS POSSIBLE FOR
MOUNTAIN RANGES.
LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST NV ON
FRIDAY MORNING, BUT WILL TAPER OFF BY THE AFTERNOON AS HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES IN. TEMPERATURES WILL START OUT IN THE TEENS AND
LOWER 20S, WARMING TO THE MID TO UPPER 40S IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH MONDAY, AND TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND.
MODELS ARE SIGNALING THE POSSIBILITY OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION FOR
NORTHERN NEVADA ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS MOISTURE RIDES THE EDGE OF
THE RIDGE. CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO INCONSISTENT TIMING BETWEEN
DIFFERENT MODELS ON THE ARRIVAL OF THE PRECIPITATION.
AVIATION
LOW AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS LINGER ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA
THIS MORNING WITH CLEARER SKIES ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA TERMINALS
KTPH AND KELY. THIS WILL REMAIN THE CASE THRU TODAY WITH VCSH
FORECAST TO BEGIN AT KWMC BETWEEN 14Z AND 16Z, MOVING EAST AND
REACHING KEKO BETWEEN 17Z AND 19Z. EXPECTING THE BULK OF THE
SHOWER ACTIVITY TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE I-80 CORRIDOR TODAY THOUGH
ANY SHOWERS THAT MOVE ON TERMINAL MAY REDUCE CONDITIONS TO MVFR
FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF TIME DUE TO LOW VIS AND CIGS. SHOWERS
DISSIPATE FROM WEST TO EAST TONIGHT. WEST-NORTHWESTERLY BREEZES
WILL BE IN PLACE AT ALL TERMINALS TODAY WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 20KT
AND 25KT. BREEZES TREND LIGHTER THRU THIS EVENING.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
86/92/89
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