499
FXUS65 KLKN 181104
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
304 AM PST TUE FEB 18 2025
SYNOPSIS
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS ELKO COUNTY DIMINISH THIS
MORNING WITH DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
REGION. THE NEXT SYSTEM BRINGS SNOW SHOWERS TO HUMBOLDT COUNTY
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING, WITH VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW
EXPANDING SOUTH AND EAST TO AT LEAST THE HIGHWAY 50 CORRIDOR BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON,
WITH VALLEY RAINS CHANGING BACK TO SNOW WEDNESDAY EVENING. SNOW
SHOWERS TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
SHORT TERM
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. DRIER AIR IS ADVECTING
IN FROM THE NORTHWEST EARLY THIS MORNING WHICH WILL BRING AN END
TO LIGHT SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY. RECENT PRECIPITATION IN COMBINATION
WITH THE SCATTERING AND CLEARING OF CLOUDS MAY RESULT IN PATCHY
FOG THIS MORNING, INCLUDING AREAS ALONG THE I-80 CORRIDOR SUCH AS
ELKO, PUMPERNICKEL VALLEY AND BATTLE MOUNTAIN. DRY AND MILD THIS
AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM LOW 40S TO LOW 50S.
BRIEF RIDGING ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING AHEAD OF TROUGH
ENERGY THAT WILL PUSH IN FROM THE WEST BRINGING SNOW SHOWERS TO
HUMBOLDT COUNTY LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. SHOWERS
EXPAND EAST AND SOUTH ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON,
HOWEVER WARMER WESTERLY FLOW WILL FORCE VALLEY SNOW TO CHANGE TO
RAIN. HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO TREND
5-8 DEGREES WARMER THAN TODAY, WITH UPPER 40S AND 50S FOR MOST
VALLEY LOCATIONS. WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY WITH
GUSTS OF 15 TO 25 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
HOURS. WEDNESDAY EVENING AND NIGHT THE TROUGH DIGS SOUTH ACROSS
NEVADA WITH PRECIPITATION CHANGING BACK TO ALL SNOW. ELKO WILL
RECEIVE THE MOST PRECIPITATION WITH THIS TROUGH, WITH A TENTH TO A
QUARTER INCH OF QPF IN MOST VALLEY LOCATIONS, AND A THIRD TO
THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF QPF TO MOUNTAINS. AS FOR SNOW
AMOUNTS, THE WARMER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL SIGNIFICANTLY
INHIBIT VALLEY SNOW. MANY VALLEYS WILL RECEIVE BETWEEN A DUSTING
AND QUARTER INCH OF NEW SNOW LATER WEDNESDAY EVENING AND NIGHT.
LONG TERM
THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING
PRECIPITATION AND 10-15 KT WINDS WITH UP TO 25 KT GUSTS ON
THURSDAY MORNING, WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT LATER IN THE EVENING.
A FEW SNOW SHOWERS MAY LINGER THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT
EXITS OUR AREA. THURSDAY MORNING LOWS WILL START OUT IN THE UPPER
20S AND LOWER 30S, BUT AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL ONLY REACH THE UPPER
30S AND LOWER 40S IN MOST AREAS. FRIDAY MORNING LOWS WILL BE IN
THE TEENS DUE TO COLD AIR BEHIND THE FRONT, BUT TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM TO THE MID TO UPPER 40S IN MOST AREAS DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE.
HIGHS THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL BE VERY WARM AS HIGH
PRESSURE GROWS STRONGER, REACHING AS WARM AS THE 60S AND LOWER
70S ACROSS CENTRAL NV. ISOLATED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE IN PARTS OF NORTHERN NEVADA ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVER MOVES OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THE JET STREAK
AND MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL STAY NORTH OF NV, BUT SOME OF
THE RAIN AND SNOW COULD MAKE ITS WAY TO THE STATE. ON TUESDAY, A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL COME ASHORE AND RIDE THE EDGE OF THE HIGH
PRESSURE OVER NV, POSSIBLY BRINGING ISOLATED PRECIPITATION IN
NORTHERN NV.
AVIATION
SNOW SHOWERS MOSTLY CLEARED FROM NORTHERN NEVADA THIS
MORNING WITH SOME LIGHT ISOLATED ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO LINGER OVER
THE HIGH TERRAIN IN AND NEAR ELKO COUNTY THRU LATE MORNING.
PROBABILITY OF A SHOWER IMPACTING KEKO AFTER SUNRISE IS LESS THAN
10%. VCFG FORECAST AT KBAM AND KEKO EARLY THIS MORNING THRU 17Z
AND ANY FOG THAT POTENTIALLY DEVELOPS OR MOVES ON TERMINAL WILL
GREATLY REDUCE VIS WITH LIFR CONDITIONS LIKELY. OTHERWISE FAIR
WEATHER EXPECTED DURING THE DAY TODAY WITH SKIES BECOMING SCT
UNDER HIGH CLOUDS AND WINDS LIGHT. WEATHER REMAINS BENIGN TONIGHT
THOUGH CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE FROM THE WEST-NORTHWEST AHEAD OF
ACTIVE WEATHER MOVING INTO THE AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING, ALSO FROM
THE WEST-NORTHWEST.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
96/89/92
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