051
FXUS65 KLKN 191112
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
312 AM PST WED FEB 19 2025
SYNOPSIS
A MIX OF LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NV THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON, ALONG
WITH GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS. LATER THIS AFTERNOON SHOWERS WILL
INCREASE AND EXPAND SOUTH INTO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NV AT WHICH
TIME SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TO ALL VALLEY FLOORS. DRY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES TRENDING WARMER FRIDAY INTO THE
WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. A TROUGH AXIS
CURRENTLY ALIGNED ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL ADVANCE WEST THROUGH
NORTHERN CA AND THE PACIFIC NW THIS MORNING. AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT, A MIX OF LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW WILL
OVERSPREAD PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEVADA THIS MORNING THROUGH THE
MID AFTERNOON HOURS. WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS MAINLY THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA,
INCLUDING MUCH OF HUMBOLDT, NORTHERN ELKO, AS WELL AS LANDER AND
EUREKA COUNTIES WHERE GUSTS OF 15 TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. LATER THIS AFTERNOON SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE
ACROSS NORTHERN NV AND ALSO EXPAND INTO CENTRAL NV. SNOW LEVELS
WILL LOWER TO MOST VALLEY FLOOR THIS EVENING. HEAVIEST SNOW SHOWER
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED OVER AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS OF ELKO COUNTY
THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. MOST VALLEY LOCATIONS
IN ELKO COUNTY ARE EXPECTED TO RECEIVE LESS THAN AN INCH OF SNOW,
WITH MOST VALLEYS AREAS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CWA RECEIVING
LESS THAN A HALF INCH OF SNOWFALL BY THURSDAY MORNING. THERE ARE
HOWEVER A FEW AREAS OF CONCERN IN WHICH TRAVEL MAY BE IMPACTED.
THOSE INCLUDE THE SUMMITS AND HIGHER ELEVATION VALLEY LOCATIONS OF
MAINLY ELKO COUNTY. PEQUOP SUMMIT ON I80 IS EXPECTED TO RECEIVE
BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES OF SNOW. STATE ROUTE 225 NORTH OF ELKO
UP TOWARD WILDHORSE AND OWYHEE IS EXPECTED TO RECEIVE 1 TO 3
INCHES OF SNOW, AND SR 226 NORTH OF ELKO UP TOWARD TUSCARORA COULD
SEE 2 TO 5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HELD
OFF ON ANY HEADLINE FOR NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY AS IMPACTS AT THIS
TIME APPEAR TO BE LOCALIZED. LATEST GUIDANCE HAS INCREASED QPF AND
SNOW AMOUNTS ACROSS THE RUBY MOUNTAINS AND EAST HUMBOLDT RANGE.
IMPACTS TO TRAVEL ON STATE ROUTE 229 THROUGH SECRET PASS AND
ACROSS HARRISON PASS OVER THE RUBY MOUNTAINS ARE SIGNIFICANT,
WITH 2 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW IN THESE AREAS. AS SUCH, HAVE ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE RUBY MOUNTAINS WHICH WILL BE IN
EFFECT FROM 6 PM PST THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING.
SNOW SHOWERS TAPER OFF BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING WITH DRY
CONDITIONS THURSDAY EVENING AND NIGHT.
LONG TERM
FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
WARM TEMPERATURES, LIGHT WINDS, AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL LAST
THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS AND
STRENGTHENS OVER THE REGION, WITH ZONAL FLOW BEGINNING ON
SATURDAY. A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS FOR HIGHER
ELEVATIONS AND MOUNTAIN RANGES OF NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY BEGINNING
AS EARLY AS SATURDAY NIGHT AND PERSISTING THROUGH AS LONG AS NEXT
TUESDAY AS A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES RIDE THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE, BUT QPF VALUES WILL BE VERY LOW IF ANY
PRECIPITATION OCCURS. BREEZY WINDS BETWEEN 10-15 KTS ARE FORECAST
IN NORTHERN NV ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. LOWS WILL BE IN THE TEENS FOR
FRIDAY MORNING DUE TO COLD AIR FROM A FRONTAL PASSAGE THE
PREVIOUS DAY, BUT HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 40S AND LOWER 50S IN THE
AFTERNOON, INCREASING TO THE MID TO UPPER 50S ON SATURDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AS HIGH AS THE 60S AND LOWER 70S BY MONDAY.
AVIATION
10% PROBABILITY FOR SHOWERS AT KWMC AND KBAM THIS
MORNING AND NOT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO INCLUDE IN THE TAF. VCSH
FORECAST AT KEKO BEGINNING AROUND 15Z, DISSIPATING AROUND 21Z. VFR
IS ANTICIPATED TO BE THE PREVAILING CONDITIONS THOUGH PERIODS OF
MVFR OR IFR ARE EXPECTED IF ANY SHOWERS MOVE ON TERMINAL AT KEKO,
KBAM, OR KWMC. BETTER PUSH OF SHOWERS THIS EVENING FROM THE WEST-
NORTHWEST WITH -SHRA FORECAST TO BEGIN AT KWMC AROUND 03Z, -SHRASN
AT KBAM AROUND 04Z, AND -SHSN AT KEKO AROUND 05Z. REDUCTIONS IN
VIS AND LOWER CIGS WILL BE APPARENT AND MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS ARE
LIKELY TO OCCUR. KTPH REMAINS DRY AND PERIODS OF VCSH ARE
EXPECTED AT KELY TODAY AND TONIGHT. BREEZES IN PLACE TODAY IN
CONJUNCTION WITH THE FRONTAL PROGRESSION, GUSTS 20KT TO 25KT ARE
FORECAST.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM PST
THURSDAY RUBY MOUNTAINS AND EAST HUMBOLDT RANGE IN ELKO.
96/89/92
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