911
FXUS65 KLKN 200237
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
637 PM PST WED FEB 19 2025
SYNOPSIS
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY MORNING,
RESULTING IN PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION. SNOW LEVELS WILL BE
DROPPING TO THE VALLEY FLOOR THIS EVENING WITH MINOR ACCUMULATIONS
EXPECTED. A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND. NEAR RECORD
WARMTH IS ANTICIPATED IN ELY AND TONOPAH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
UPDATE
RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER PATTERN HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS
NORTHERN NEVADA THIS EVENING. LIGHT TO LOCALLY MODERATE RAIN
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO SWITCH TO SNOW SHOWERS FROM WEST TO EAST
THIS EVENING. PREVIOUSLY FORECAST SNOW LEVELS WERE A BIT TOO HIGH
AND HAVE BROUGHT THESE DOWN ABOUT 500 TO 1000 FEET, WHICH HAS
INCREASED SNOW AMOUNTS IN THE VALLEY LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN NEVADA.
CURRENT SNOW TOTALS ARE SHOWING ABOUT ONE TO THREE INCHES IN THE
VALLEYS ACROSS NORTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS EVENING WITH
THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS STILL ACROSS NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY. WITH THE
CHANGEOVER, SNOW IS BEGINNING TO ACCUMULATE ON ROADWAYS ABOVE 5500
FEET, SO ISSUED AN SPS TO HANDLE THIS.
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1219 PM PST WED FEB 19 2025/
SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY MORNING, RESULTING IN PERIODS OF
PRECIPITATION. SNOW LEVELS WILL BEGIN AT ABOUT 6,500 FEET THIS
AFTERNOON, BEFORE FALLING TO THE VALLEY FLOOR TONIGHT. A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE RUBY MOUNTAINS AND EAST
HUMBOLDT RANGE FROM 6 PM PST THIS EVENING UNTIL 6 AM PST THURSDAY
MORNING. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF SIX TO TWELVE INCHES ARE EXPECTED
ABOVE 7,500 FEET THIS EVENING INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. TOTAL
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF THREE TO SIX INCHES ARE ANTICIPATED FROM
6,500 FEET TO 7,500 FEET THIS EVENING INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
HERE ARE PROBABILITIES OF ONE INCH OF SNOW OR MORE FOR SELECT
LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL
10 AM PST THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 20TH, 2025:
JARBIDGE - 97%
RUBY VALLEY - 88%
WILD HORSE - 83%
RUBY LAKE - 78%
OWYHEE - 75%
JACKPOT - 55%
SPRING CREEK - 52%
WELLS - 49%
AUSTIN - 37%
ELKO - 35%
THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EASTWARD INTO
THE GREAT BASIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THURSDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE AROUND
TEN DEGREES COLDER THAN THIS AFTERNOON. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD NORTHWARD ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THURSDAY NIGHT.
LOW TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THURSDAY
NIGHT WILL BE AROUND FIVE DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL VALUES.
LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY
LOOK FOR DRIER AND FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE
REGION AS A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE KEEPS WEATHER ACTIVITY
NORTH OF NEVADA. OVER THE WEEKEND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER
IDAHO WILL WEAKEN THE RIDGE FURTHER, ALLOWING SMALL CHANCES (20%
OR LOWER) OF ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS TO RETURN OVER NORTHERN NEVADA
MAINLY ALONG THE STATE BORDER WITH IDAHO. SHORTLY AFTER, THE
RIDGE STRENGTHENS BACK OVER THE REGION, KEEPING WEATHER ACTIVITY
FURTHER NORTH, LEAVING DRIER CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
ON A WARMING TREND WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S FRIDAY, WARMING
INTO THE 50S TO 60S BY SUNDAY AND LASTING THROUGH TUESDAY.
OVERNIGHT LOWS ALSO ON A WARMING TREND, STARTING IN THE 20S
FRIDAY, AND INTO THE 30S OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
WINDS EXPECTED TO BE CALM FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AT LESS THAN 10 MPH.
BY SUNDAY, BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OVER NORTHERN NEVADA AT
10-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MONDAY AFTERNOON, SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
AT 10-15 MPH ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA AND PARTS OF CENTRAL NEVADA.
TUESDAY, WESTERLY WINDS ELEVATE AT 10-15 MPH ACROSS THE REGION.
AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AT ALL TERMINALS WITH CHANCES OF
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS RETURNING LATER THIS EVENING AT ALL
TERMINALS EXCEPT FOR KTPH. MVFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE FROM
PASSING SHOWERS AND LOWER CIGS. -SHRA CONDITIONS TRANSITION TO
-SHSN OVERNIGHT AS TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING. BREEZY
WESTERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AT KWMC, KBAM, AND KTPH AT 10-15
KTS, GUSTS 20-25 KTS WITH WINDS OVER KWMC AND KBAM DISSIPATING
OVERNIGHT, HOWEVER REMAIN ELEVATED OVER KTPH. WINDS AT KELY AND
KEKO REMAIN BELOW 10 KTS.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM PST THURSDAY RUBY MOUNTAINS
AND EAST HUMBOLDT RANGE IN ELKO.
86/99
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