186
FXUS65 KLKN 220921
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
121 AM PST SAT FEB 22 2025
SYNOPSIS
A QUICK MOVING SYSTEM CLIPPING THE NORTHERN TIER OF
THE SILVER STATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON LOOK TO BE THE ONLY HICCUP IN
THE FORECAST AS UPPER RIDGING BRINGS A SPRINGTIME PREVIEW AS NEAR
RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES WITH QUIET CONDITIONS MOVE IN FOR THE
WEEK AHEAD.
SHORT TERM
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE QUIET WITH A SHORTWAVE RIDGE TRANSITING THE
GREAT BASIN REGION IN THE WAKE OF A STRONGLY POSITIVE TILTED
TROUGH OVER THE FOUR CORNERS. THIS RIDGE WILL BE KICKED EAST AS A
STRONG UPPER TROUGH TAKES AIM AT THE PACIFIC NW. ONLY TO BE
REPLACED BY MORE LONG WAVE BROAD UPPER RIDGING THAT WILL BUILD IN
FROM THE SW. AS A RESULT SATURDAY WILL SEE A JUMP IN TEMPERATURES
UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, AS HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S
TO UPPER 50S FOR MOST, THE ONLY CAVEAT WILL BE FOR ELKO COUNTY AS
RESIDUAL SNOW COVER, MEAGER AS IT IS, WILL KEEP HIGHS A BIT LOWER
THAN THE REST RANGING IN THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S. OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL SEE A EAST TO WEST SPLIT, AS CLOUD COVER WILL BEGIN TO
BUILD ACROSS THE WEST AS THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER TROUGH MOVES IN
ACROSS THE PACIFIC NW. LOWS EAST OF BATTLE MOUNTAIN WILL DROP INTO
THE UPPER TEENS TO UPPER 20S, WHILE UNDER THE CLOUDS TO THE WEST
OF BATTLE MOUNTAIN WILL SEE LOWS IN THE LOW TO UPPER 30S FOR
SUNDAY MORNING. SUNDAY WILL BEGIN WITH CLOUDS BUILDING ACROSS THE
SILVER STATE, THE GOOD NEWS IS FOR MOST OF NV THE SLOW BUILDING OF
LONG WAVE RIDGING FROM THE SW WILL KEEP THE TRACK OF THE UPPER
TROUGH WELL TO THE NORTH WITH MOST OF THE STATE STAYING DRY.
HOWEVER THE TAILING COOL FRONT WILL CLIP NORTHERN NEVADA SUNDAY
AFTERNOON WHICH WILL BRING A LOW CHANCE OF ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS
THE FAR NORTHERN TIER OF THE STATE NORTH OF I-80. SNOW LEVELS
SUNDAY WILL START AT 7500 FEET AND LOOK TO RISE TO 8500 FEET
DURING THE DAY, MEANING ANY LIGHT PRECIPITATION THAT DOES FALL
WILL BE MOSTLY RAIN AND TOTALS ONLY IN THE TRACE TO 0.10”, WITH
THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS SEEING UP TO 1” OF SNOW FROM THIS SYSTEM.
FOR NOW THE MAIN IMPACT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE FOR INCREASED WEST
TO SW WINDS ACROSS HUMBOLDT AND ELKO COUNTIES SUNDAY AFTERNOON
WITH SPEEDS IN THE 15 MPH TO 25 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 35
MPH POSSIBLE, WIND ACROSS CENTRAL NV WONT BE AS STRONG RUNNING AT
5 MPH TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM WILL EXIT RATHER QUICKLY SUNDAY
NIGHT WITH QUIET CONDITIONS RETURNING STATE WIDE BY MONDAY
MORNING.
LONG TERM
MONDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY
LOOK FOR DRY AND WARMER WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEK AS A COMBINATION
OF ZONAL FLOW AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING LASTING THROUGH THURSDAY.
TEMPERATURES TREND WARMER EACH DAY REACHING TO NEAR RECORD HIGHS.
A SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE TUESDAY WILL HELP DROP TEMPERATURES IN
NORTHERN NEVADA ALONG THE STATE BORDER, THEN QUICKLY MOVING BACK
TO A WARMING TREND THE FOLLOWING DAY. LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY,
MODELS ARE SHOWING A TREND OF AN CUT-OFF LOW PUSHING SOUTH
TOWARDS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA, HOWEVER THERE ARE DISCREPANCIES ON
THE TIMING AND POSITION. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO BE DRY WITH
TEMPERATURES STAYING ON A WARMING TREND.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOUR
PERIOD.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
98/97/93
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