994
FXUS65 KLKN 050903
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
203 AM PDT MON MAY 5 2025
SYNOPSIS
UNSETTLED WEATHER CONTINUES ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN
NV TODAY AND TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES REMAIN COOL EARLY THIS WEEK,
WITH BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS. DRY ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY
THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY, WITH TEMPERATURES TRENDING MUCH WARMER
WEDNESDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THE CUTOFF LOW CURRENTLY
CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN CA AND AZ WILL EXIT EAST INTO NEW MEXICO
THIS AFTERNOON LEAVING A NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT ACROSS NV. HIGHS
THIS AFTERNOON WILL TREND 5-8 DEGREES WARMER ACROSS THE WESTERN
HALF OF THE CWA WHERE DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. WEAK
INSTABILITY PERSISTS ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL NV THIS AFTERNOON WHERE
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FAVORED INTO THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS. WINDS WILL BE NORTHERLY THIS AFTERNOON, WITH
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH AND GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH IN MOST
VALLEY LOCATIONS. SLIGHTLY HIGHER WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
MOUNTAINS AND IN LOCATIONS WHERE NORTHERLY WINDS CHANNEL. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA WILL REMAIN ON THE
COOLER SIDE, WITH UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
A SECOND UPPER LEVEL LOW EMBEDDED IN THE NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT
WILL MOVE IN OVER NE NEVADA THIS EVENING, THEN DIG SOUTH THROUGH
EASTERN NV TONIGHT, RESULTING IN PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
ALONG WITH SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS EASTERN NV INTO
TUESDAY.
LONG TERM
WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BEGINS TO BUILD BACK INTO THE AREA FOR
WEDNESDAY, KICKING OFF A STRETCH OF DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING
TEMPERATURES. RIDGING CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND, ALLOWING HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB FROM THE UPPER 60S AND LOW 70S ON WEDNESDAY
UP INTO THE LOW 80S BY SATURDAY. CONDITIONS ALSO LOOK TO REMAIN
DRY THROUGH SATURDAY. SUNDAY FINALLY SEES A CHANGE IN THE PATTERN
AS A NEW UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BEGINS TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE
NORTHERN PACIFIC COAST. WHILE SOME UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS
REGARDING PRECISE TIMING AND LOCATION, CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT
IMPACTS WILL BEGIN ON SUNDAY. A SURFACE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE UPPER SYSTEM WILL CROSS NEVADA, DROPPING HIGHS BEHIND IT INTO
THE 60S. PRECIPITATION WITH THIS SYSTEM LOOKS FAIRLY LIGHT AT THE
MOMENT, WITH LOW ACCUMULATIONS LIMITED MAINLY TO NORTHERN NEVADA
ON MONDAY, BUT THERE IS STILL TIME FOR MOISTURE TO INCREASE.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. SCATTERED TO BROKEN CLOUDS WITH CEILINGS RANGING
FROM FL040 TO FL100 WILL PERSIST ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV.
AFTERNOON INSTABILITY EAST OF WHITE PINE COUNTY MAY INITIATE
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER, DUE TO LIMITED COVERAGE AND LOW
PROBABILITY, THUNDERSTORMS WERE NOT INCLUDED IN THE TAF FOR KELY.
WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE NORTH AT 15-20 KTS, WITH GUSTS OF
25-35 KTS.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
96/94/90
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page