013
FXUS65 KLKN 200735
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1235 AM PDT WED AUG 20 2025
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1235 AM PDT WED AUG 20 2025
* ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR EASTERN NEVADA TODAY
* A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
* MODERATE RISK FOR HEAT-RELATED ILLNESSES FRIDAY
* WETTING THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN EASTERN NEVADA EACH AFTERNOON
AND EVENING SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: AN UPPER-LEVEL AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL REMAIN PARKED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION OF THE UNITED
STATES TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. ISOLATED, DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED IN EASTERN NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. A FEW
OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE STRONG. THE PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM
HAZARDS WILL BE WIND GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES. A WARMING TREND IS ANTICIPATED THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY. BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON, HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEVEN
TO NINE DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THIS TYPE OF
HEAT WILL RESULT IN A MODERATE RISK FOR HEAT-RELATED ILLNESSES.
ALTHOUGH HEAT EVENTS LIKE THIS ARE RELATIVELY COMMON AND HAPPEN
MANY TIMES A YEAR, HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THOSE NEW
TO THE AREA IF SIMPLE PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. A HEAT ADVISORY
MAY BE REQUIRED FOR MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA FRIDAY. A
HEAT ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED FOR NORTHERN NEVADA SATURDAY.
THE AFOREMENTIONED ANTICYCLONE ALOFT WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY. MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL MOVE NORTHWARD INTO
EASTERN NEVADA SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY, RESULTING IN THE LIKELIHOOD
OF WETTING THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A COOLING
TREND TREND IS ANTICIPATED SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON, MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND FIVE DEGREES BELOW
SEASONAL VALUES.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR EASTERN NEVADA TODAY. HIGH
FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING A WARMING TREND THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN A MODERATE RISK FOR HEAT-RELATED
ILLNESSES FRIDAY. MODERATE FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING WETTING
THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN NEVADA EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY. NO DEVIATIONS FROM THE NBM MODEL OUTPUT.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY WILL SEE PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
DURING THE AFTERNOON AS INCREASING MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ALLOW
FOR CONVECTIVE BUILD-UPS FOR KELY, KEKO, KENV AND KBAM. WINDS WILL
BE OUT OF THE SW AT 10KT TO 20KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30KT POSSIBLE.
FIRE WEATHER
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN EASTERN NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING DUE TO SOUTHWEST TO WEST WIND GUSTS
NEAR 25 MPH AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AS LOW AS 8
PERCENT. ISOLATED, DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED IN EASTERN
NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. A FEW OF THESE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE STRONG. THE PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM HAZARDS
WILL BE ERRATIC WIND GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES. ISOLATED, DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
IN WHITE PINE COUNTY THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY EVENING.
WETTING RAIN IS LIKELY IN EASTERN NEVADA SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...87
AVIATION...98
FIRE WEATHER...87
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