467
FXUS65 KLKN 210741
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1241 AM PDT THU AUG 21 2025
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1241 AM PDT THU AUG 21 2025
* A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED TODAY AND FRIDAY
* HEAT ADVISORY FOR MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA FRIDAY
* HEAT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR NORTHERN NEVADA SATURDAY
* WETTING THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN EASTERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA EACH
AFTERNOON AND EVENING SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: AN UPPER-LEVEL AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL REMAIN PARKED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION OF THE UNITED
STATES TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. ISOLATED, DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE
ANTICIPATED IN WHITE PINE AND SOUTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTIES THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. ISOLATED, DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED IN EASTERN NEVADA FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY EVENING. A
FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE STRONG. THE PRIMARY
THUNDERSTORM HAZARDS WILL BE WIND GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH AND DANGEROUS
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES. A WARMING TREND IS ANTICIPATED
TODAY AND FRIDAY. BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON, HIGH TEMPERATURES
THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WILL BE SEVEN TO NINE
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THIS TYPE OF HEAT WILL
RESULT IN A MODERATE RISK FOR HEAT-RELATED ILLNESSES. ALTHOUGH
HEAT EVENTS LIKE THIS ARE RELATIVELY COMMON AND HAPPEN MANY TIMES
A YEAR, HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THOSE NEW TO THE
AREA IF SIMPLE PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT FOR MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA FRIDAY. A HEAT
ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED FOR NORTHERN NEVADA SATURDAY.
THE AFOREMENTIONED ANTICYCLONE ALOFT WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD SUNDAY
AND MONDAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE GREAT BASIN TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL
MOVE NORTHWARD INTO EASTERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA SUNDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, RESULTING IN THE LIKELIHOOD OF WETTING THUNDERSTORMS
EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A COOLING TREND TREND IS EXPECTED
SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WILL BE SIX TO
EIGHT DEGREES BELOW SEASONAL VALUES.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REGARDING A WARMING TREND TODAY AND FRIDAY. HIGH FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IN A HEAT ADVISORY FOR MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA FRIDAY. MODERATE FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING A HEAT
ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN NEVADA SATURDAY. MODERATE FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IN WETTING THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA
EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. NO DEVIATIONS
FROM THE NBM MODEL OUTPUT.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THURSDAY.
CONDITIONS THURSDAY WILL SEE PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES DURING THE
AFTERNOON, AS INCREASING MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ALLOW FOR
CONVECTIVE BUILD-UPS FOR KELY, KEKO, KENV AND KBAM. ISOLATED DRY
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR EASTERN NV, WITH VCTS POSSIBLE
FOR KENV AND KELY. WINDS THURSDAY WILL BE OUT OF THE SW AT 5KT TO
15KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30KT POSSIBLE.
FIRE WEATHER
ISOLATED, DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN WHITE PINE AND
SOUTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.
ISOLATED, DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED IN EASTERN NEVADA
FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY EVENING. WETTING RAIN IS LIKELY IN
CENTRAL NEVADA SATURDAY. WETTING RAIN IS LIKELY IN EASTERN AND
CENTRAL NEVADA SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM PDT FRIDAY
NVZ030-031-036>039-041.
DISCUSSION...87
AVIATION...98
FIRE WEATHER...87
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