775
FXUS65 KLKN 132038
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
138 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2025
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 136 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2025
* AN UPPER TROUGH WILL BE PUSHING EAST TODAY AND OUT OF THE REGION
THIS WILL RESULT IN LIGHT SHOWERS IN NORTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY.
* A QUIET WEATHER PATTERN SETS UP OVER THE SILVER STATE BEYOND THE
WEEKEND.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 136 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2025
ONLY MINOR UPDATES THIS AFTERNOON AS FORECAST IS ON TRACK. THERE
CONTINUES TO BE A LOW 10% TO 20% CHANCE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS FAR NE ELKO COUNTY THROUGH 8PM THIS EVENING.
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: SKIES ARE MOSTLY CLEAR ACROSS NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS MORNING. FOR TODAY, THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
OVER THE FORECAST AREA WILL SHIFT EAST. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS (TEN TO TWENTY PERCENT) WILL DEVELOP OVER NORTHEAST
ELKO COUNTY THOUGH RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE VERY LIGHT. THE REST
OF THE AREA WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH. LOOK FOR
QUIET CONDITIONS TONIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE 30S AND 40S.
A SHORTWAVE RIDGE AXIS WILL BREEZE THROUGH NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA SATURDAY AND PORTIONS OF SUNDAY. THIS WILL BRING WARMING
TEMPERATURES OF THE 70S AND 80S TO THE AREA ON BOTH DAYS WITH
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM. THE WEATHER
SYSTEM WILL SKIRT NORTH. THIS WILL BRING A TEN TO THIRTY PERCENT
PROBABILITY FOR SHOWERS NORTH OF I-80 WITH LOW RAINFALL AMOUNTS
EXPECTED. HIGHS WILL COOL A FEW DEGREES WITH READINGS DIPPING INTO
THE 70S AND 80S. WINDS WILL BE LOCALLY BREEZY WITH GUSTS TO 20 TO
25 MPH. LOOK FOR QUIET WEATHER MONDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE 30S
AND 40S.
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY, MODELS CONTINUE TO DEPICT AN UPPER RIDGE
BUILDING INTO THE AREA WITH MAINLY QUIET CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
PERIOD. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 80S WITH LOWS IN THE 30S AND 40S.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE NBM
FORECAST.
AVIATION
LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
FIRE WEATHER
LOOK FOR AN EXITING STORM SYSTEM TODAY UNDER
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THIS WEEKEND BUT
WILL QUICKLY MOVE EAST. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN IDAHO WITH LIGHT SHOWERS (TEN TO TWENTY
PERCENT) OVER LOCATIONS NORTH OF I-80 SUNDAY AND MONDAY. BY
TUESDAY, ANOTHER RIDGE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA, BRINGING DRY
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEK. NO FIRE WEATHER IMPACTS ARE CURRENTLY
EXPECTED.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86
FIRE WEATHER...84
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