347
FXUS65 KLKN 051935
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1235 PM PDT SUN OCT 5 2025
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1235 PM PDT SUN OCT 5 2025
* NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES IN THE VALLEYS OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEVADA BOTH TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT
* WARMING TREND TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
* GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS IN CENTRAL NEVADA THURSDAY
AFTERNOON
* PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN TO THE FORECAST BOTH FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY
DISCUSSION
(TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE SILVER STATE TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED IN
THE VALLEYS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA BOTH TONIGHT AND MONDAY
NIGHT. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT VEGETATION FROM FREEZING
TEMPERATURES. HERE ARE PROBABILITIES OF MINIMUM TEMPERATURES OF 32
DEGREES OR LOWER FOR SELECT LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA ON MONDAY, OCTOBER 6TH, 2025:
ELY - 100%
EUREKA - 96%
SPRING CREEK - 95%
WELLS - 90%
CARLIN - 85%
JACKPOT - 80%
BATTLE MOUNTAIN - 75%
ELKO - 70%
WINNEMUCCA - 70%
OWYHEE - 55%
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD NORTHWARD OVER THE
ROCKY MOUNTAINS TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. A WARMING TREND IS
EXPECTED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, HIGH
TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WILL BE AROUND
FIVE DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE SEASONAL VALUES THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE NORTHWARD INTO CENTRAL
NEVADA FRIDAY, RESULTING IN A SLIGHT CHANCE (10-20%) OF
PRECIPITATION. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA SATURDAY, LEADING TO A CHANCE
(30-50%) OF PRECIPITATION.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES IN
THE VALLEYS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA BOTH TONIGHT AND MONDAY
NIGHT. HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN A WARMING TREND TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. MODERATE FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING GUSTY SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS IN CENTRAL NEVADA THURSDAY AFTERNOON. MODERATE
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURNING TO THE
FORECAST BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT
24 HOURS. A CLOUD DECK AT AROUND 6,000 FEET WILL ERODE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.
FIRE WEATHER
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS CONTINUE TO REMAIN LOW FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO THE 70S BY MID WEEK AND MINIMUM
RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. STILL WATCHING
THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS AND ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION
THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH AND SURFACE
FRONTAL SYSTEM LOOK TO TRAVEL ACROSS NEVADA.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...87
AVIATION...87
FIRE WEATHER...94
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