680
FXUS65 KLKN 241930
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1230 PM PDT FRI OCT 24 2025
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1230 PM PDT FRI OCT 24 2025
* WIND ADVISORY FOR HUMBOLDT COUNTY SATURDAY
* STRONG WIND GUSTS IN ELKO COUNTY SATURDAY
* LIGHT MOUNTAIN SNOW IN NORTHERN NEVADA SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT
* COOLING TREND THIS WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE
EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. AHEAD OF
THIS TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE, STRONG, GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED IN NORTHERN NEVADA. SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS NEAR 55 MPH ARE
ANTICIPATED IN HUMBOLDT COUNTY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY
EVENING. AS A RESULT, A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR HUMBOLDT
COUNTY FROM 11 AM PDT SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL 11 PM PDT SATURDAY
EVENING. SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN ELKO
COUNTY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY EVENING. BLOWING DUST WILL
REDUCE VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT,
PARTICULARLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD
ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT,
RESULTING IN PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION. SNOW LEVELS WILL START AT
AROUND 7,000 FEET SATURDAY AFTERNOON, BEFORE DROPPING TO ABOUT
6,000 FEET SATURDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY BE AN
INCH OR LESS, EXCEPT IN JARBIDGE WHERE THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF
SNOW IS POSSIBLE. THE MAJORITY OF PRECIPITATION WILL FALL SUNDAY
MORNING AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HERE ARE PROBABILITIES OF ONE TENTH
OF AN INCH OF PRECIPITATION OR MORE FOR SELECT LOCATIONS IN
NORTHERN NEVADA SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT:
DENIO - 82%
OWYHEE - 82%
JACKPOT - 77%
MCDERMITT - 74%
OROVADA - 69%
WELLS - 58%
LAMOILLE - 51%
SPRING CREEK - 47%
CARLIN - 44%
ELKO - 43%
ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA MONDAY AFTERNOON
WILL BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
APPARENT TEMPERATURES MONDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE TEENS IN THE
COLDEST VALLEYS OF ELKO AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES. A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL AMPLIFY AS IT MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THE PRIMARY STORM TRACK
WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE SILVER STATE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE
WIND ADVISORY FOR HUMBOLDT COUNTY SATURDAY. HIGH FORECAST
CONFIDENCE REGARDING STRONG WIND GUSTS IN ELKO COUNTY SATURDAY.
HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN LIGHT MOUNTAIN SNOW IN NORTHERN NEVADA
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REGARDING A COOLING TREND THIS WEEKEND. NO DEVIATIONS FROM THE NBM
MODEL OUTPUT.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH AT LEAST THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS NEAR 35 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED AT
KWMC AND KBAM, STARTING AT 17Z SATURDAY MORNING. SOUTHWEST WIND
GUSTS NEAR 35 KNOTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT KEKO, KELY, AND KTPH,
BEGINNING AT 17Z SATURDAY MORNING.
FIRE WEATHER
STRONG SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS ARE ANTICIPATED IN NORTHERN NEVADA
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY EVENING. AN ATMOSPHERIC
DISTURBANCE WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT, RESULTING IN PERIODS OF
PRECIPITATION. THE MAJORITY OF THIS PRECIPITATION WILL FALL
SUNDAY MORNING AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY NVZ030.
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