054
FXUS65 KLKN 250920
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
220 AM PDT SAT OCT 25 2025
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 208 AM PDT SAT OCT 25 2025
* WIND ADVISORY FOR HUMBOLDT COUNTY TODAY
* STRONG WIND GUSTS IN ELKO COUNTY TODAY
* LIGHT MOUNTAIN SNOW IN NORTHERN NEVADA TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT
* COOLING TREND THIS WEEKEND
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 208 AM PDT SAT OCT 25 2025
FORECAST CONTINUES ON TRACK FOR TODAY THROUGH TOMORROW. NO CHANGES
ARE REQUIRED FOR THIS PACKAGE.
DISCUSSION
(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE
EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA TODAY. AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH
OF LOW PRESSURE, STRONG, GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN
NORTHERN NEVADA. SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS NEAR 55 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED
IN HUMBOLDT COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS A RESULT, A
WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR HUMBOLDT COUNTY FROM 11 AM PDT
THIS SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. SOUTHWEST
WIND GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN ELKO COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. BLOWING DUST WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.
TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT, PARTICULARLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD
ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT, RESULTING IN
PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION. SNOW LEVELS WILL START AT AROUND 7,000
FEET THIS AFTERNOON, BEFORE DROPPING TO ABOUT 6,000 FEET TONIGHT.
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY BE AN INCH OR LESS, EXCEPT IN
JARBIDGE WHERE THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE. THE
MAJORITY OF PRECIPITATION WILL FALL SUNDAY MORNING AND SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. HERE ARE PROBABILITIES OF ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF
PRECIPITATION OR MORE FOR SELECT LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN NEVADA
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT:
DENIO - 82%
OWYHEE - 82%
JACKPOT - 77%
MCDERMITT - 74%
OROVADA - 69%
WELLS - 58%
LAMOILLE - 51%
SPRING CREEK - 47%
CARLIN - 44%
ELKO - 43%
ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA MONDAY AFTERNOON
WILL BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
APPARENT TEMPERATURES MONDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE TEENS IN THE
COLDEST VALLEYS OF ELKO AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES. A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL AMPLIFY AS IT MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THE PRIMARY STORM TRACK
WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE SILVER STATE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE
WIND ADVISORY FOR HUMBOLDT COUNTY SATURDAY. HIGH FORECAST
CONFIDENCE REGARDING STRONG WIND GUSTS IN ELKO COUNTY SATURDAY.
HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN LIGHT MOUNTAIN SNOW IN NORTHERN NEVADA
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REGARDING A COOLING TREND THIS WEEKEND. NO DEVIATIONS FROM THE NBM
MODEL OUTPUT.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY.
SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS NEAR 35 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED AT KWMC AND
KBAM, STARTING AT 17Z THIS MORNING. SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS NEAR 35
KNOTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT KEKO, KELY, AND KTPH, BEGINNING AT 17Z
THIS MORNING. FOR KWMC CIGS AND VIS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER TO MVFR
OR LOWER LEVELS AFTER SUNDAY 12Z WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN.
REDUCED CIGS AND VIS REACH KBAM AND KEKO LATER SUNDAY MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
FIRE WEATHER
STRONG SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS ARE ANTICIPATED IN NORTHERN NEVADA
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AN ATMOSPHERIC DISTURBANCE WILL
PROGRESS EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT, RESULTING IN PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION. THE MAJORITY OF THIS
PRECIPITATION WILL FALL SUNDAY MORNING AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING
NVZ030.
DISCUSSION...96
AVIATION...96
FIRE WEATHER...96
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