881
FXUS65 KLKN 251901
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1201 PM PDT SAT OCT 25 2025
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1201 PM PDT SAT OCT 25 2025
* WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR HUMBOLDT COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND
THIS EVENING
* STRONG WIND GUSTS IN ELKO COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING
* LIGHT MOUNTAIN SNOW IN NORTHERN NEVADA TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT
* COOLING TREND SUNDAY AND MONDAY
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE
EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE, STRONG, GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN NORTHERN NEVADA. SOUTHWEST WIND
GUSTS NEAR 55 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED IN HUMBOLDT COUNTY THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. AS A RESULT, A WIND ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT FOR HUMBOLDT COUNTY UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. SOUTHWEST
WIND GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN ELKO COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING. BLOWING DUST WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.
TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT, PARTICULARLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD
ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT, RESULTING IN
PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION. SNOW LEVELS WILL DROP TO ABOUT 6,000
FEET TONIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY BE AN INCH OR
LESS, EXCEPT IN JARBIDGE WHERE THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW IS
POSSIBLE. THE MAJORITY OF PRECIPITATION WILL FALL SUNDAY. HERE
ARE PROBABILITIES OF ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF PRECIPITATION OR MORE
FOR LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN NEVADA TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT:
OWYHEE - 91%
JACKPOT - 86%
DENIO - 80%
MCDERMITT - 75%
OROVADA - 75%
WELLS - 65%
LAMOILLE - 58%
SPRING CREEK - 54%
ELKO - 48%
CARLIN - 48%
ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. HIGH
TEMPERATURES MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE AROUND FIVE DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. APPARENT TEMPERATURES MONDAY NIGHT
WILL BE IN THE TEENS IN THE COLDEST VALLEYS OF ELKO AND WHITE PINE
COUNTIES. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL AMPLIFY AS IT MOVES
EASTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN UNITED STATES TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY,
RESULTING IN A WARMING TREND. BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SIX TO EIGHT DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR. AN EASTERN PACIFIC RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAKE
ITS WAY TOWARD CALIFORNIA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN ABOVE SEASONAL VALUES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE
WIND ADVISORY FOR HUMBOLDT COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.
HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING STRONG WIND GUSTS IN ELKO
COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE
IN LIGHT MOUNTAIN SNOW IN NORTHERN NEVADA TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING A COOLING TREND SUNDAY
AND MONDAY. NO DEVIATIONS FROM THE NBM MODEL OUTPUT.
AVIATION
LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SUNDAY AT
ALL TERMINALS. WINDS SW15-25G25-35KT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ALL
LOCALES EXCEPT KENV DURING THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. INTERMITTENT
RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE LATE EVENING, WITH THE
INCREASING THREAT FOR PERSISTENT LIGHT RAIN AFTER 12Z SUNDAY
MORNING. FOR KWMC, CIGS AND VIS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER TO MVFR OR
LOWER LEVELS AFTER SUNDAY 12Z WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN. REDUCED
CIGS AND VIS REACH KBAM AND KEKO LATER SUNDAY MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
FIRE WEATHER
STRONG SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS ARE ANTICIPATED IN NORTHERN NEVADA
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. AN ATMOSPHERIC DISTURBANCE WILL
PROGRESS EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT, RESULTING IN PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION. SNOW LEVELS WILL
DROP TO ABOUT 6,000 FEET TONIGHT. THE MAJORITY OF THIS
PRECIPITATION WILL FALL SUNDAY.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING NVZ030.
DISCUSSION...87
AVIATION...86
FIRE WEATHER...87
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page