100
FXUS65 KLKN 260931
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
231 AM PDT SUN OCT 26 2025
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 213 AM PDT SUN OCT 26 2025
* VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN NEVADA
TODAY AND TONIGHT
* COOLING TREND INTO MONDAY
* DRY CONDITIONS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 213 AM PDT SUN OCT 26 2025
FORECAST CONTINUES ON TRACK FOR TODAY THROUGH TOMORROW. NO CHANGES
ARE REQUIRED FOR THIS PACKAGE.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE
EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE, STRONG, GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN NORTHERN NEVADA. SOUTHWEST WIND
GUSTS NEAR 55 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED IN HUMBOLDT COUNTY THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. AS A RESULT, A WIND ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT FOR HUMBOLDT COUNTY UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. SOUTHWEST
WIND GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN ELKO COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING. BLOWING DUST WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.
TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT, PARTICULARLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD
ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT, RESULTING IN
PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION. SNOW LEVELS WILL DROP TO ABOUT 6,000
FEET TONIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY BE AN INCH OR
LESS, EXCEPT IN JARBIDGE WHERE THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW IS
POSSIBLE. THE MAJORITY OF PRECIPITATION WILL FALL SUNDAY. HERE
ARE PROBABILITIES OF ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF PRECIPITATION OR MORE
FOR LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN NEVADA TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT:
OWYHEE - 91%
JACKPOT - 86%
DENIO - 80%
MCDERMITT - 75%
OROVADA - 75%
WELLS - 65%
LAMOILLE - 58%
SPRING CREEK - 54%
ELKO - 48%
CARLIN - 48%
ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. HIGH
TEMPERATURES MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE AROUND FIVE DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. APPARENT TEMPERATURES MONDAY NIGHT
WILL BE IN THE TEENS IN THE COLDEST VALLEYS OF ELKO AND WHITE PINE
COUNTIES. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL AMPLIFY AS IT MOVES
EASTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN UNITED STATES TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY,
RESULTING IN A WARMING TREND. BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SIX TO EIGHT DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR. AN EASTERN PACIFIC RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAKE
ITS WAY TOWARD CALIFORNIA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN ABOVE SEASONAL VALUES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE
WIND ADVISORY FOR HUMBOLDT COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.
HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING STRONG WIND GUSTS IN ELKO
COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE
IN LIGHT MOUNTAIN SNOW IN NORTHERN NEVADA TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING A COOLING TREND SUNDAY
AND MONDAY. NO DEVIATIONS FROM THE NBM MODEL OUTPUT.
AVIATION
STRONG JET ENERGY ACROSS NORTHERN NV TODAY, WITH SOUTHWESTERLY
SURFACE WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 25 KNOTS FOR MOST OF THE REGION.
REDUCED CIGS AND VIS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NV TODAY, WITH
PERIODS OF MVFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT KWMC KBAM AND KEKO
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS DIMINISH LATER THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS ON MONDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
AN ATMOSPHERIC DISTURBANCE WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN
NEVADA TODAY AND TONIGHT, RESULTING BREEZY WINDS AND PERIODS OF
PRECIPITATION.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...96
AVIATION...96
FIRE WEATHER...96
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