197
FXUS65 KLKN 261945
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1245 PM PDT SUN OCT 26 2025
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1232 PM PDT SUN OCT 26 2025
* LIGHT VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTHERN NEVADA THROUGH TONIGHT
* COOLING TREND INTO MONDAY
* DRY CONDITIONS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: LOW AND MID-LEVEL CLOUDS CONTINUE TO
STREAM ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON. WEAK RETURNS HAVE
BEEN NOTED ON RADAR AND THESE HAVE PRODUCED LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS
NORTHERN NEVADA TODAY. THE SYNOPTIC SETUP CONSISTS OF AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE WESTERN COAST OF BRITISH
COLUMBIA. THE UPPER FLOW WILL BE OUT OF THE WEST OVER THE AREA.
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL BE HIGHEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF NEVADA AT ABOUT A HALF INCH. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. SNOW LEVELS WILL
BE BETWEEN 6000 AND 7000 FEET AND WILL MODERATE SOMEWHAT, THOUGH
MUCH OF THE MOISTURE WILL HAVE SHIFTED EAST. DUE TO PARTIAL
CLEARING EXPECTED DURING THE NIGHT, AND THE RECENT PRECIPITATION
OVER NORTHERN NEVADA, HAVE ADDED PATCHY FREEZING FOG TO THE VALLEY
LOCATIONS FOR THE MONDAY MORNING PERIOD. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
IN THE 20S AND 30S.
ISOLATED, LIGHT SHOWERS EXISTS FOR THE JARBIDGE WILDERNESS FOR
EARLY MONDAY MORNING; OTHERWISE, THE WEATHER WILL DRY OUT WITH
SKIES BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WITH HIGHS IN THE
40S AND 50S. LOOK FOR QUIET AND DRY CONDITIONS DURING THE
OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE TEENS AND 20S.
HEIGHTS WILL RISE ON TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NEVADA. IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRY WITH SUNNY SKIES.
HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 50S AND 60S WITH LOWS IN THE 20S AND 30S AND
LIGHT WINDS.
A PATTERN OF GENERAL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. IT WILL REMAIN ON THE QUIET SIDE WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S AND LOWS IN THE 20S AND 30S. WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT.
FOR NEXT WEEKEND, MODELS CONTINUE TO HINT AT MORE QUIET WEATHER
WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S AND LOWS IN THE 30S.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: CONFIDENCE IN CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION REMAIN HIGH THROUGH TONIGHT. HIGH FORECAST
CONFIDENCE REGARDING A COOLING TREND THROUGH MONDAY. NO
DEVIATIONS WERE MADE FROM THE NBM MODEL OUTPUT.
AVIATION
INTERMITTENT MVFR AND IFR CONDITIONS FOR NORTHERN
TERMINALS KWMC, KBAM, KEKO, AND KENV THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING AS
VCSH AND SHRA ARE IN THE FORECAST AS A WEATHER SYSTEM DRAGS ACROSS
NORTHERN NV. SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS OF 22-25KTS ARE ANTICIPATED TO
PERSIST AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING AND FOR KWMC,
KEKO, AND KBAM CONTINUE PAST MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. KENV WILL SEE
NORTHWESTERLY GUSTS NEAR 25KTS BEGINNING AFTER MIDNIGHT AND
CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. VIS WILL ALSO BE IMPACTED BY LOW
CIGS DOWN TO 015 THIS AFTERNOON AT KWMC, KBAM, AND KEKO. LOW CIGS
WILL BE INTERMITTENT AFTER MIDNIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING FOR KEKO,
KELY, AND KENV.
FIRE WEATHER
NO FIRE WEATHER ISSUES ARE BEING NOTED AT THIS
TIME. AN ATMOSPHERIC DISTURBANCE WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD ACROSS
NORTHERN NEVADA TONIGHT, RESULTING BREEZY WINDS AND PERIODS OF
LIGHT PRECIPITATION. QUIET AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEK WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S AND 50S ON MONDAY, WARMING
INTO THE 50S AND 60S TUESDAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...99
FIRE WEATHER...86
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