812
FXUS65 KLKN 280730 AAA
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1230 AM PDT TUE OCT 28 2025
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1230 AM PDT TUE OCT 28 2025
* COOLER TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL WARM UP TO SEASONAL NORMS BY
THROUGH THE WEEK
* DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND UNDER BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1230 AM PDT TUE OCT 28 2025
THE CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK. NO CHANGES ARE REQUIRED.
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: RIDGING OVER THE PACIFIC WILL BUILD INTO
THE WESTERN CONUS THIS WEEK. NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE PROFILE IN
THE NORTHEASTERN FLANK OF THE RIDGE WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FOR
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV COOL TODAY.
BY WEDNESDAY, FLOW OVER THE AREA TAKES A MORE ZONAL COMPONENT
ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO WARM GRADUALLY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK
TO NEAR SEASONAL TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S.
THE BUILDING RIDGE AND ASSOCIATED HIGH PRESSURE CENTER ARE
PERSISTENT, TAKING POSITION OVER THE SOUTHWEST CONUS INTO NEXT
WEEKEND. ENSEMBLE CLUSTERS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE RIDGE
WILL MAINTAIN ITS PLACE OVER THE REGION THROUGH SUNDAY. ENSEMBLES
DON'T SHOW ANY MOVEMENT OF THE RIDGE OR POTENTIAL WEATHER PATTERN
CHANGE UNTIL MIDDLE OF THE WEEK NEXT WEEK.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN DRY
CONDITIONS AND WARMING TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO
THE WESTERN CONUS THIS WEEK. NO GRID EDITING NECESSARY AT THIS
TIME.
AVIATION
LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOUR PERIOD ACROSS ALL TERMINALS.
FIRE WEATHER
UNDER STRENGTHENING HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT
BASIN THE REGION WILL DRY OUT AS TEMPERATURES WARM GRADUALLY
THROUGH THE WEEK. LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS ALL FIRE WEATHER
ZONES THROUGH MID WEEK. PRECIPITATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED IN THE
SHORT OR LONG-TERM FORECAST.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...86
FIRE WEATHER...99
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