374
FXUS65 KLKN 061943
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1143 AM PST SAT DEC 6 2025
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1140 AM PST SAT DEC 6 2025
* BREEZY NW WINDS ACROSS NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY
MORNING
* QUIET CONDITIONS WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES RETURN MONDAY AND TUESDAY
* LOW CHANCES FOR LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY MORNING
* UPPER LEVEL RIDGING LOOKS TO BE THE DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE FRIDAY
INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE NORTHERN THIRD OF NEVADA ASSOCIATED
WITH AN UPPER TROUGH CONTINUE TO WIND DOWN THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL
COME TO AN END DURING THE OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER, WINDS WITH THIS
SYSTEM WILL BE CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED, BUT THE AREA OF COVERAGE
OF THE STRONGER WINDS WILL BE SHRINKING AS WELL WITH NE ELKO
COUNTY SEEING NW WINDS OF 10 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH
POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. SUNDAY AFTERNOON THE UPPER TROUGH
WILL BE WELL TO THE EAST ALLOWING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE THAT WILL BUILD IN ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN SHOVING
THE STORM TRACK THAT HAS BEEN ACROSS THE PACIFIC NW NORTH INTO
CANADA. MODELS HAVE RECENTLY HINTED THAT THIS RIDGE MAY NOT BE AS
STRONG AS INITIALLY THOUGH AS RECENTLY AS YESTERDAY. SO WHILE
MONDAY AND TUESDAY LOOK TO BE DRY WITH QUIET CONDITIONS, MODELS
HINT THAT A UPPER TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST MAY
BE STRONG ENOUGH TO CLIP NORTHERN NEVADA WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY
MORNING. FOR NOW PRECIPITATION WITH THIS TROUGH LOOKS TO BE
LIMITED TO FOR NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY, AND WITH SNOW LEVELS DURING
PASSAGE FORECAST TO BE ABOVE 8500 FEET, LOOK FOR ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS, WITH SNOW LIMITED TO THE HIGHEST PEAKS OF THE
INDEPENDENCE AND JARBIDGE RANGES. AS FOR AMOUNTS, ISOLATED POCKETS
OF UP TO 0.25” OF WATER, WITH UP TO 2” OF SNOW. AFTER THURSDAY
MODELS AGAIN SHOW RIDGING RE-INTENSIFY ACROSS THE SW US LEADING TO
ANOTHER ROUND OF WARMING TEMPERATURES AND QUIET, DRY WEATHER
CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON A GENERAL WARMING TREND THIS
WEEK, WITH HIGHS STARTING IN THE MID 40S TO MID 50S SUNDAY
AFTERNOON WARMING INTO THE LOW 50S TO LOW 60S BY NEXT WEEKEND.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL ALSO WARM FROM THE UPPER TEENS TO UPPER 20’S
SUNDAY MORNING, WARMING INTO THE MID 20S TO MID 30S FOR NEXT
WEEKEND.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE ACROSS THE SW US AND GREAT BASIN REGIONS THAT WILL BRING
QUIET WEATHER AND WARMING TEMPERATURES MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
THERE IS LOW TO MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN THE CHANCES FOR ISOLATED
SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY
MORNING ASSOCIATED WITH A UPPER TROUGH CLIPPING NEVADA.
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE RE-INTENSIFICATION OF UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING ACROSS THE SW US THAT WILL LEAD TO QUIET, DRY WEATHER
WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES FRIDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.
BREEZY NW WINDS OF 10KT TO 20KT WITH A FEW GUSTS UP TO 30KT WILL
BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING AS UPPER TROUGH
DEPARTS THE REGION. A 10% TO 20% CHANCE FOR WIDELY ISOLATED
SHOWERS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING BUT AREA TERMINALS LOOK TO REMAIN DRY.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...98
AVIATION...98
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page