061
FXUS65 KLKN 070802 AAA
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1202 AM PST SUN DEC 7 2025
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1202 AM PST SUN DEC 7 2025
* QUIET CONDITIONS WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES RETURN MONDAY AND
TUESDAY
* LOW CHANCES FOR LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY MORNING
* UPPER LEVEL RIDGING LOOKS TO BE THE DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE FRIDAY
INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1202 AM PST SUN DEC 7 2025
CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK. NO CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE
CURRENT SEVEN DAY FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL BE WELL TO THE EAST TODAY ALLOWING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT WILL BUILD IN ACROSS
THE GREAT BASIN SHOVING THE STORM TRACK THAT HAS BEEN ACROSS THE
PACIFIC NW NORTH INTO CANADA. MODELS HAVE RECENTLY HINTED THAT THIS
RIDGE MAY NOT BE AS STRONG AS INITIALLY THOUGH AS RECENTLY AS
YESTERDAY. SO WHILE MONDAY AND TUESDAY LOOK TO BE DRY WITH QUIET
CONDITIONS, MODELS HINT THAT A UPPER TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO CLIP NORTHERN NEVADA
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING. FOR NOW, PRECIPITATION WITH THIS
TROUGH LOOKS TO BE LIMITED TO NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY, AND WITH SNOW
LEVELS DURING PASSAGE FORECAST TO BE ABOVE 8500 FEET, LOOK FOR
ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS, WITH SNOW LIMITED TO THE HIGHEST PEAKS OF THE
INDEPENDENCE AND JARBIDGE RANGES. AS FOR AMOUNTS, ISOLATED POCKETS
OF UP TO 0.25” OF WATER, WITH UP TO 2” OF SNOW. AFTER THURSDAY,
MODELS AGAIN SHOW RIDGING RE-INTENSIFY ACROSS THE SW US LEADING TO
ANOTHER ROUND OF WARMING TEMPERATURES AND QUIET, DRY WEATHER
CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON A GENERAL WARMING TREND THIS
WEEK, WITH HIGHS STARTING IN THE MID 40S TO MID 50S SUNDAY AFTERNOON
WARMING INTO THE LOW 50S TO LOW 60S BY NEXT WEEKEND. OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL ALSO WARM FROM THE UPPER TEENS TO UPPER 20’S SUNDAY MORNING,
WARMING INTO THE MID 20S TO MID 30S FOR NEXT WEEKEND.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE SW US AND GREAT
BASIN REGIONS THAT WILL BRING QUIET WEATHER AND WARMING TEMPERATURES
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THERE IS LOW TO MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN THE
CHANCES FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY MORNING ASSOCIATED WITH A UPPER TROUGH CLIPPING NEVADA.
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE RE-INTENSIFICATION OF UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING ACROSS THE SW US THAT WILL LEAD TO QUIET, DRY WEATHER WITH
WARMING TEMPERATURES FRIDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...98
AVIATION...98
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