618
FXUS65 KLKN 102116
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
116 PM PST WED DEC 10 2025
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 102 PM PST WED DEC 10 2025
* UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND
* PLEASANT WEATHER AND LIGHT WINDS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND
* NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO SHAPE UP FOR NEXT
WEEK
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OFF THE SOCAL
COAST CONTINUES TO HOLD A GRIP OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CONUS THIS
WEEK. WHILE THE PACNW SEES COPIOUS RAINFALL THE GREAT BASIN WILL
KEEP QUIET WEATHER IN ITS FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ZONAL AND
NORTHWEST FLOW AT TIMES OVERHEAD WILL BE LIGHT IN NATURE. THIS
LEADS TO AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 50S OVER NORTHERN NV AND 60S OVER
CENTRAL NV RUNNING ABOUT 15-20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR DECEMBER.
THIS WILL CONTINUE TO THREATEN HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS THROUGH
THIS WEEK.
THE NEXT BEST CHANCE AT PRECIPITATION EXISTS NEXT WEEK. THE HIGH
PRESSURE CURRENTLY KEEPING A LID ON THE ATMOSPHERE FINALLY PUSHES
TO THE EAST BY SUNDAY. AN LPC AND ASSOCIATED SHORTWAVE WILL
TRAVERSE ZONAL FLOW FROM CA THROUGH SOUTHERN NV EARLY MONDAY AM.
MOISTURE AVAILABILITY, HOWEVER, IS LOW KEEPING IMPACTFUL WEATHER
WITH THE SYSTEM MINIMAL FOR THE REGION. THE GRADIENT BEGINS TO
TIGHTEN LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY INCREASING WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS
ACROSS THE AREA.
THE TIGHTER GRADIENT IS A RESULT OF A STRONGER SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY
FORECAST TO DIG FURTHER SOUTH INTO THE GREAT BASIN MONDAY NIGHT.
CURRENT MODEL RUNS HAVE BETTER MOISTURE AVAILABILITY ASSOCIATED
WITH THE SYSTEM INTO NORTHERN NV ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
INCREASING PRECIPITATION CHANCES. RIGHT NOW BEST RAIN/SNOW AMOUNTS
RESIDE ALONG AND NORTH OF I-80.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE EXISTS IN
CONTINUES WARM SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
AREA INTO THE WEEKEND. LESS CONFIDENCE EXISTS IN TIMING AND
AMOUNTS FOR PRECIPITATION CHANCES NEXT TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
AVIATION
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA CONTINUES VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL
TERMINALS THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. NO PRECIPITATION IS
FORECASTED AND AFTERNOON WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE LIGHT.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...99
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