568
FXUS65 KLKN 110900
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
100 AM PST THU DEC 11 2025
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1252 AM PST THU DEC 11 2025
* UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND
* FAIR WEATHER AND LIGHT WINDS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND
* NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE EARLY NEXT WEEK
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1252 AM PST THU DEC 11 2025
THE CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK AND NO SIGNIFICANT UPDATES ARE
REQUIRED.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OFF THE SOCAL
COAST CONTINUES TO INFLUENCE THE SOUTHWESTERN CONUS THIS WEEK.
WHILE THE PACNW SEES COPIOUS RAINFALL THE GREAT BASIN WILL KEEP
DRY AND QUIET WEATHER IN ITS FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ZONAL
AND NORTHWEST FLOW AT TIMES OVERHEAD WILL BE LIGHT IN NATURE. THIS
LEADS TO AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 50S OVER NORTHERN NV AND 60S OVER
CENTRAL NV RUNNING ABOUT 15-20 DEGREES WARMER THAN NORMAL FOR
DECEMBER. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO THREATEN HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS
THROUGH THE WEEK.
THE NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE
HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY KEEPING A LID ON THE ATMOSPHERE FINALLY
PUSHES TO THE EAST BY SUNDAY. AN LPC AND ASSOCIATED SHORTWAVE WILL
TRAVERSE ZONAL FLOW FROM CALIFORNIA THROUGH SOUTHERN NEVADA EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. MOISTURE AVAILABILITY, HOWEVER, IS LOW KEEPING
IMPACTFUL WEATHER WITH THE SYSTEM MINIMAL FOR THE REGION. THE
GRADIENT BEGINS TO TIGHTEN LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY INCREASING
WEST- NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS THE AREA.
THE TIGHTER GRADIENT IS A RESULT OF A STRONGER SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY
FORECAST TO DIG FURTHER SOUTH INTO THE GREAT BASIN MONDAY NIGHT.
CURRENT MODEL RUNS HAVE BETTER MOISTURE AVAILABILITY ASSOCIATED
WITH THE SYSTEM INTO NORTHERN NEVADA ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY,
INCREASING PRECIPITATION CHANCES. RIGHT NOW BEST OPPORTUNITY FOR
RAIN/SNOW ACCUMULATION RESIDES ALONG AND NORTH OF I-80.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE EXISTS IN
CONTINUED WARM SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LESS CONFIDENCE EXISTS IN TIMING AND
AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION NEXT TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
AVIATION
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION CONTINUES VFR
CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NO
PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST AND AFTERNOON WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO
BE LIGHT.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...92
AVIATION...92
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