909
FXUS65 KLKN 231151
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
351 AM PST TUE DEC 23 2025
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 313 AM PST TUE DEC 23 2025
* NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
* PERIODS OF VALLEY RAIN AND ELEVATED SNOW SHOWERS TODAY,
FOLLOWED BY A BRIEF REPRIEVE, THEN BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD MID-
WEEK
* COOLER TEMPERATURES RETURN WEDNESDAY TO NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES
BY FRIDAY
* STRONG GUSTY WINDS RETURN LATE TODAY THROUGH THROUGH THE MID-
WEEK PERIOD
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 313 AM PST TUE DEC 23 2025
MINOR UPDATE TO THE CURRENT WIND HEADLINES WERE MADE. EXPANDED
COVERAGE BY ADDING ZONES 034 AND 041 WITH NO CHANGES MADE TO THE
TIMING. CURRENT FORECAST IS TRACKING WELL.
AVIATION UPDATE
VFR CONDITION WILL CONTINUE AT ALL TERMINALS
THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE BREEZY AT
TIMES WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING ACROSS THE CENTRAL NEVADA
TERMINALS KELY AND KTPH WHERE WIND GUSTS TO 30KT ARE EXPECTED.
PATCHY BLDU IS POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON IN CENTRAL NEVADA
THAT COULD REDUCE VSBY TO 2SM OR LESS AT KELY AND KTPH.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE COAST OF
CALIFORNIA ALONG WITH A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER SOUTHERN U.S. IS
SHIFTING THE WEATHER PATTERN TO A MORE SOUTHWESTERLY DIRECTION.
PERIODS OF VALLEY RAIN AND ELEVATED SNOW CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON
FOLLOWED BY A SMALL REPRIEVE IN THE PRECIPITATION TUESDAY.
TEMPERATURES STILL EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR ABOVE RECORD FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR TODAY AND TOMORROW.
HIGH WINDS EXPECTED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH STRONGEST WINDS IN
CENTRAL NEVADA REACHING UP TO 20-30 MPH, GUSTS 40-50 MPH. THE
ONGOING WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO KEEP WINDS ELEVATED THROUGH
THE WEEK UNTIL DISSIPATING BY FRIDAY.
BY MID-WEEK, THE LOW PRESSURE WILL HAVE SHIFTED EASTWARD,
CARRYING MOISTURE FROM AN ONGOING ATMOSPHERIC RIVER EVENT INTO THE
SOUTHWEST, MAKING VALLEY RAIN AND ELEVATED SNOW MORE WIDESPREAD
ACROSS ALL FORECAST ZONES IN OUR AREA THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO
THE WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM IS ALSO EXPECTED TO BRING IN MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES AWAY YET STILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL. TEMPERATURES
WILL GRADUALLY DROP EACH DAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND, REACHING TO NEAR
NORMAL. THE DROP IN TEMPERATURES INCREASE THE CHANCE OF SNOWFALL
MAKING IT INTO THE VALLEYS WITH SNOW LEVELS THURSDAY DROPPING
BETWEEN 6500-7000 FEET, AND BY FRIDAY BETWEEN 4000-5000 FEET.
SNOWFALL EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY.
OVER THE WEEKEND, THE LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS
CENTRAL U.S. WITH POTENTIAL OF UPPER RIDGING BUILDING BACK UP AND
WARMER TEMPERATURES. MODELS ARE SHOWING SOME DISCREPANCIES OF THE
UPPER RIDGE DOMINATING THE WEST WHILE SOME MODELS SHOW AND OFF-
CUT LOW LINGERING OVER THE SOUTHWEST.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE OF PERIODS OF
RAIN TODAY AND CONTINUING BY MID-WEEK, LASTING THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE OF STRONG GUSTY WINDS TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. HIGH CONFIDENCE OF COOLER TEMPERATURES RETURNING
WEDNESDAY. MODERATE CONFIDENCE OF SNOW REACHING INTO THE VALLEYS
LATE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. MODERATE CONFIDENCE OF UPPER RIDGING
BUILDING UP NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOUR
PERIOD. VCSH CONDITIONS NEAR ALL NORTHERN TERMINALS BUT IS NOT
EXPECTED TO IMPACT ANY AIRPORTS. CIG CONDITIONS REMAIN BETWEEN
FL040 AND FL100, SLIGHTLY IMPROVING TO FL150 THIS AFTERNOON WITH
THE EXCEPTION OF KTPH STARTING WITH SKC AND CIG LEVELS DROPPING TO
FL200 THIS AFTERNOON. ELEVATED WINDS AT EACH TERMINAL OF UP TO
10-12 KTS, DISSIPATING THIS EVENING EXCEPT FOR KELY HAVING STRONG
SOUTHERLY WINDS OF UP TO 12-15 KTS, GUSTS UP TO 20-25 KTS
THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
TOMORROW, STRONG SOUTHERLY/SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS EXPECTED TO RETURN
ACROSS ALL TERMINALS WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL
TERMINALS WITH WIND GUSTS REACHING UP TO 40-50 KTS. BLDU
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONG WINDS.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM PST WEDNESDAY
NVZ034-035-037-040-041.
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...97
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