949
FXUS65 KLKN 262044
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1244 PM PST FRI DEC 26 2025
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1207 PM PST FRI DEC 26 2025
* STRONG GUSTY WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION HAVE PROMPTED A
WIND ADVISORY FOR WHITE PINE COUNTY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
EVENING.
* COOLER TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND THROUGH THE START OF NEXT WEEK,
GRADUALLY RISING TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY MID-WEEK.
* PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN TO THE AREA BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A ULT PUSHING THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN
CONTINUES TO BE THE CATALYST FOR ACTIVE WEATHER OVER THE NORTHERN
HALF OF NV. AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE BOUNDARY PUSHING ACROSS EASTERN
NV THIS AFTERNOON IS BRINGING RAIN AND A BRIEF CHANGEOVER TO WET
SNOW TO THE AREA. FRONTOGENESIS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY IS
HELPING TO CREATE BRIEF BUT MODERATE SNOWFALL FOR I-80 AND EASTERN
NV ROADWAYS WHERE VISIBILITIES BRIEFLY DROP TO 3/4 MILE AS THE
BAND PUSHES THROUGH. AN EMBEDDED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY JET FIRMLY
ENTRENCHED OVER THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BRING STRONG GUSTY WINDS
TO THE AREA, ESPECIALLY OVER WHITE PINE COUNTIES THROUGH THE
EVENING WHERE A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN PLACE UNTIL TONIGHT.
BEHIND THE FRONT A POST FRONTAL REGIME WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA BY
SATURDAY EVENING AS THE UPPER LEVEL EXTENT OF THE TROUGH DRAGS
THROUGH THE REGION. MORE NORTHERLY FLOW AND EVENTUALLY CLEARING
SKIES WILL HELP DRIVE TEMPERATURES BACK DOWN TO SEASONAL NORMS.
NORTHERLY FLOW IN THE EASTERN FLANK OF A BUILDING RIDGE WILL
CONTINUE TO KEEP TEMPERATURES COOLER INTO THE NEW YEAR.
UNLIKE THE PREVIOUS RIDGE, THE RIDGE THAT WILL BUILD OVER GREAT
BASIN THIS WEEKEND DOES NOT HAVE A LONG RESIDENCE TIME OVER THE
AREA. BY MIDWEEK THE RIDGE WILL MIGRATE EASTWARD PLACING THE
REGION IN ITS WESTWARD FLANK AND MORE SOUTHERLY FLOW THAT WILL
HELP WARM TEMPERATURES BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS. RIDING THIS
SOUTHERLY FLOW BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY OF NEXT WEEK IS A SHORTWAVE
THAT WILL HELP RETURN PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO THE AREA FOR AT
LEAST CENTRAL AND EAST-CENTRAL NV. THE WAVE WILL INCREASE MOISTURE
AVAILABILITY, PARTICULARLY OVER NYE AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES BY
WEDNESDAY EVENING. CURRENT GUIDANCE HAS RAIN AND SNOW SHOWER
ACTIVITY PUSHING INTO THE REGION FROM SOUTH TO NORTH BY THURSDAY
MORNING. IT IS A BIT EARLY TO SPECULATE ON ACCUMULATIONS AND
AMOUNTS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE REMAINS IN THE
SHORT TERM FORECAST CONCERNING PRECIPITATION TIMING AND AMOUNTS
THROUGH SATURDAY AS WELL AS COOLER TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND AND
EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW CONFIDENCE EXISTS IN PRECIPITATION CHANCES
FOR CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN NV NEXT THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY RETURN TO ALL TERMINALS FROM WEST TO
EAST THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT BRINGING -SHRASN
ACTIVITY WILL PUSH THROUGH EASTERN NV AND WESTERN UT BY FRIDAY
EVENING BRINGING PERIODS OF MVFR AND IFR CONDITIONS TO KEKO, KELY,
AND KENV. FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE
STRONG FOR KTPH AND KELY GUSTING BETWEEN 30-40KTS UNTIL LATER
FRIDAY EVENING. GUSTS OF AROUND 22KTS ARE FORECAST AT NORTHERN NV
TERMINALS UNTIL AFTER SUNSET FRIDAY EVENING. MORE WESTERLY BREEZES
ARE ANTICIPATED AT KEKO, KELY, AND KENV SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING NVZ035.
DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...99
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