381
FXUS65 KLKN 272026
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1226 PM PST SAT DEC 27 2025
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1201 PM PST SAT DEC 27 2025
* BREEZY AFTERNOON WINDS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEVADA WITH WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH
* COOLER TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND THROUGH THE START OF NEXT
WEEK, GRADUALLY RISING TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY MID-WEEK
* PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN TO THE AREA BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A QUIETER WEATHER PATTERN IS SETTLING
INTO THE SILVER STATE AS THE LATE WEEK SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED ULT THAT
BROUGHT A MULTITUDE OF PRECIPITATION TYPES AND EVEN SOME THUNDER
TO THE AREA RETREATS TO THE EAST. BY TONIGHT THE TROUGH WILL BE TO
THE EAST-SOUTHEAST WITH RIDGING BUILDING INTO THE GREAT BASIN.
CLEARING SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL HELP DROP OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES INTO THE 20S ACROSS NORTHERN NV LEADING TO THE
POTENTIAL FOR AREAS OF FOG BEFORE SUNRISE.
BEHIND THE TROUGH AND IN THE EASTERN FLANK OF THE RIDGE NORTHERLY
FLOW WILL RESIDE IN THE PROFILE OVERHEAD THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES NEAR SEASONAL VALUES INTO THE WORK WEEK. A
SHORTWAVE RIDING THE RIDGED FLOW WILL TRAVERSE ACROSS THE STATE
ON SUNDAY THOUGH A LACK OF SIGNIFICANT FORCING AND EFFICIENT
MOISTURE WILL RENDER NOTHING MORE THAN SOME CLOUDY SKIES FOR THE
REGION.
THE RIDGE PUSHES THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN BY WEDNESDAY AND MAKES
WAY FOR THE NEXT POTENTIAL WEATHER MAKER LATER IN THE WEEK. AN
AMPLIFYING TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST WILL BEGIN TO ENCROACH ON THE
CONUS BY THURSDAY EVENING. A SHORTWAVE RIDING THE PARENT TROUGH
WILL RETURN MOISTURE AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO THE AREA
BEGINNING THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. INITIALLY
PRECIPITATION WILL INITIATE OVER CENTRAL NV AND SLOWLY SPREAD
NORTH THROUGH FRIDAY. A MIX OF RAIN AND PERHAPS SOME VALLEY SNOW
IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM UNDER A COLDER REGIME THOUGH ITS A
BIT EARLY TO SPECULATE ON AMOUNTS AND ACCUMULATIONS. A TIGHTENING
GRADIENT AND STRENGTHENING JET IN THE DOWNSTREAM OF THE PARENT
TROUGH WILL ENHANCE SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE AREA FRIDAY EVENING
AND SATURDAY INCREASING SURFACE WIND SPEEDS AT THAT TIME. THE
LARGER, WELL AMPLIFIED TROUGH PUSHES THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN ON
SATURDAY KEEPING PRECIPITATION CHANCES OVER THE REGION INTO NEXT
WEEKEND.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE CONTINUES FOR
BREEZY CONDITIONS ACROSS NE NV THIS AFTERNOON AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES INTO NEXT WEEK. LOW CONFIDENCE REMAINS FOR
PRECIPITATION CHANCES, AMOUNTS, AND TIMING RELATED TO INCOMING
SYSTEM LATE NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS ARE PRIMARILY EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. CIGS HAVE LIFTED ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND
SHOULD REMAIN AT OR ABOVE 3000FT AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE
PERIOD. SATURDAY AFTERNOON BREEZES OUT OF THE WEST-NORTHWEST WILL
GUST BETWEEN 18-25KTS BUT DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET. THERE IS
POTENTIAL FOR VCFG AT KWMC/KEKO/KBAM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING UNDER
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS AT THAT TIME COULD LEAD TO
INTERMITTENT MVFR AND IFR CONDITIONS. FG THAT DOES DEVELOP WILL
BURN OFF BY MID MORNING ON SUNDAY.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...99
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