268
FXUS65 KLKN 180911
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
111 AM PST SUN JAN 18 2026
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 103 AM PST SUN JAN 18 2026
* DRY WEATHER PERSISTS THRU THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
* HIGH TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE SEASONAL VALUES EACH AFTERNOON
SATURDAY THRU THURSDAY
* A CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN IS POSSIBLE LATE THIS WEEK
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 103 AM PST SUN JAN 18 2026
CURRENT FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK AT THIS TIME AND NO CHANGES HAVE
BEEN REQUIRED.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: CONTINUED RIDGING AND HIGH PRESSURE
WILL KEEP CONDITIONS IN NORTHEAST NEVADA WARM AND DRY THRU
MIDWEEK. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND TEN DEGREES WARMER
THAN NORMAL WHILE OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL, IN
THE UPPER 40S/LOW 50S AND TEENS/MID 20S RESPECTIVELY.
MODELS ARE SHOWING SIGNS OF A RETURN TO AN ACTIVE PATTERN BY THE
END OF THE WEEK BUT THERE IS STILL A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY REGARDING
PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL AND TEMPERATURES. AT THIS TIME HOWEVER,
PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION REMAINS RELATIVELY LOW (15% OR LESS)
ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA AND DRY WEATHER IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO
PERSIST ACROSS SOUTHERN NEVADA.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR DRY
WEATHER AND ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES THRU WEDNESDAY. LOW
FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE PATTERN CHANGE LATE WEEK. LOW
TEMPERATURES FOR THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY
COOLER ACROSS THE VALLEYS AS NBM BASELINE CONTINUES TO RUN TOO
WARM.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS CONTINUE AT ALL SITES
THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...92
AVIATION...92
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