821
FXUS65 KLKN 191955
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1155 AM PST MON JAN 19 2026
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1154 AM PST MON JAN 19 2026
* DRY WEATHER PERSISTS THRU THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
* HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER THAN SEASONAL VALUES EACH
AFTERNOON THRU THURSDAY
* A CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN IS LIKELY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AND NORTHWEST FLOW
CONTINUES TO BE THE STORY FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS BEFORE FINALLY
BREAKING DOWN SOME FOR THE WEEKEND. LOCAL IMPACTS LOOK LIGHT,
WITH MINIMAL MOISTURE AVAILABILITY CURRENTLY INDICATED WHICH WILL
SUPPRESS ANY PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL. THE RIDGE BREAKDOWN IS
EXPECTED TO ALLOW A COOLER AIR MASS TO ENTER NORTHEASTERN NEVADA
FOR THE WEEKEND, DROPPING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES BY AROUND FIVE
DEGREES COMPARED TO LATE WEEK. MODEL AGREEMENT IS VERY LOW AFTER
SATURDAY, MAKING IT DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE A CLEAR PICTURE, BUT
THE GENERAL INDICATION STILL LOOKS LIKE A MORE ACTIVE PATTERN
TAKES HOLD FOR THE END OF THE MONTH.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR CONTINUED
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MODERATE CONFIDENCE FOR
RIDGE BREAKDOWN TIMING AND IMPACTS. LOW CONFIDENCE FOR CONDITIONS
AFTER SATURDAY. NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO BASE NBM OUTPUT.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS CONTINUING AT ALL SITES
THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...94
AVIATION...94
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