347
FXUS65 KLKN 220917
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
117 AM PST THU JAN 22 2026
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 107 AM PST THU JAN 22 2026
* DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY
* HIGH TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE SEASONAL VALUES EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY
* A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM WILL USHER IN COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE
WEEKEND WITH UPPER RIDGING BUILDING BACK IN FOR NEXT WEEK
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 107 AM PST THU JAN 22 2026
FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK WITH NO CHANGES PLANNED.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A LARGE AND DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM CAN BE SEEN JUST WEST OF HUDSON BAY IN CANADA AT
THIS TIME. MEANWHILE, UPPER RIDGING CONTINUES TO HOLD FIRM ACROSS
THE WESTERN UNITED STATES. THIS UPPER RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY MOVE
WEST, ALLOWING FOR A CLOSED LOW TO MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM WILL TREK EAST ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO FOR
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA. FOR
TONIGHT, EXPECT ANOTHER NIGHT OF TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS AND 20S
WITH NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED.
ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT, THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE SQUEEZED
TO THE WEST BY A CLOSED UPPER TROUGH IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC. A MIX
OF CLOUDS AND SUN ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW UNDER MAINLY DRY
CONDITIONS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN BE IN THE 40S AND
50S WITH LIGHT WINDS AND NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED DURING THE DAY.
EXPECT PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES THURSDAY NIGHT WITH ENERGY
MOVING SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED LONG
WAVE TROUGH LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY MORNING. ISOLATED, LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA
WITH VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ACCUMULATION. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL
BE IN THE 20S.
THE FLOW WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NORTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE NORTH LATE FRIDAY MORNING INTO
THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE HIGH
TERRAIN. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL
THOUGH THEY WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER VERSUS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON WITH READINGS IN THE 40S. ISOLATED, LIGHT SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF US HIGHWAY 50 IN EUREKA AND WHITE PINE
COUNTIES, THOUGH AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT AT LESS THAN A HALF INCH.
WINDS WILL BE BREEZY OUT OF THE NORTH BUT GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
LIMITED TO 20 MPH. SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO SCATTER OUT DURING THE
OVERNIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING WITH COLDER TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED. LOWS WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS. HIGHS ON
SATURDAY WILL BE IN THE 30S AND 40S, WHICH WILL BE AT OR JUST
BELOW NORMAL VALUES FOR A CHANGE.
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY, THE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO GO
BACK TO A MORE QUIET PATTERN DURING THIS TIME FRAME WITH LIGHT
WINDS. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL ONCE AGAIN WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL
CONDITIONS BY EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH READINGS IN THE 40S AND 50S.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE TEENS AND 20S.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH ON THE
FORECAST PERTAINING TO DRY WEATHER CONTINUING THROUGH TOMORROW.
HIGH TEMPERATURE FORECAST ALSO REMAINS HIGH WITH WELL ABOVE
SEASONAL VALUES TOMORROW. FORECAST CONFIDENCE DIMINISHES TO
MODERATE REGARDING THE SYSTEM TRANSITING THE REGION FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. ONLY DEVIATION MADE FROM THE NBM MODEL OUTPUT IS THE
OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES, WHICH WAS MASSAGED DOWN A FEW DEGREES
FROM THE FORECAST.
AVIATION
LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE UPCOMING 24
HOUR PERIOD.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...99
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