709
FXUS65 KLKN 081030
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
230 AM PST SUN FEB 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1218 AM PST SUN FEB 8 2026
* TEMPERATURES REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL TODAY
* A COLD FRONT PASSES ACROSS NORTHERN NV TONIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING WITH LIGHT VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW
* UNSETTLED WEATHER INTENSIFIES MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
WITH SNOW LEVELS LOWERING TO VALLEY FLOORS
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1218 AM PST SUN FEB 8 2026
NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME, THOUGH THE
DISCUSSION BELOW WAS UPDATED.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV IS STARTING TO WEAKEN
AS TROUGH ENERGY APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE INCOMING
SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS TO NORTHERN NV THIS MORNING,
WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES EXPANDING ACROSS CENTRAL NV BY THIS
EVENING. WINDS BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY THIS AFTERNOON, WITH STRONGEST
GUSTS OF 15 TO 25 MPH MAINLY NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 80 CORRIDOR.
LIGHT VALLEY RAIN IS PROJECTED TO MOVE IN OVER FAR NORTHWESTERN
HUMBOLDT COUNTY EARLY THIS EVENING, WITH SHOWERS EXPANDING SOUTH
TO THE INTERSTATE 80 CORRIDOR AND EAST TO AROUND HIGHWAY 93 NORTH
OF WELLS BY MIDNIGHT. SNOW LEVELS EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS
NORTHERN NV BEGIN AT OR ABOVE 7000 FEET.
AFTER MIDNIGHT SHOWERS EXPAND SOUTH INTO LANDER, EUREKA AND
POSSIBLY SOUTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY. SNOW LEVELS LOWER TO VALLEY
FLOORS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80 OVERNIGHT AND TO AROUND 6500 FEET
ALONG THE HIGHWAY 50 CORRIDOR BY MONDAY MORNING, WHICH IS THE
SOUTHERN MOST EXTENT OF THE FIRST ROUND OF SHOWERS THIS WEEK.
SNOW AMOUNTS BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM A
TRACE UP TO A QUARTER INCH ACROSS PORTIONS OF HUMBOLDT AND ELKO
COUNTIES. HOWEVER, RECENT WARMTH WILL GREATLY INHIBIT SNOW
ACCUMULATION ON ROADWAYS. BRIEF REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY SHOULD BE
THE MAIN IMPACT FROM ANY SNOWFALL TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.
SHOWERS TAPER OFF LATE MONDAY MORNING WITH DRY CONDITIONS MONDAY
AFTERNOON.
MONDAY AFTERNOON TROUGH ENERGY BUILDING OFFSHORE OF THE CENTRAL
CA COAST WILL LEAD TO INSTABILITY IN THE AIRMASS OVER CENTRAL NV.
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG A HORIZONTAL BAND THROUGH
CENTRAL NV NEAR AND JUST NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 50 CORRIDOR MONDAY
EVENING. OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY THE LOW CENTERED WELL OFF THE CA
COAST WILL DRIFT EASTWARD, SETTLING IN ALONG THE CA COASTLINE. THE
RESULT OF WHICH WILL BE INCREASED SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS CENTRAL
NV MONDAY EVENING THAT WILL EXPEND INTO NORTHERN NV OVERNIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. SNOW LEVELS MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING ALONG THE
HIGHWAY 50 CORRIDOR ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 6000-6500 FOOT
RANGE. SNOW LEVELS ACROSS NORTHERN NV MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE DOWN TO VALLEY FLOORS. SNOW AMOUNTS
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM A
QUARTER INCH TO ONE INCH FOR MOST VALLEY LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH
OF THE HIGHWAY 50 CORRIDOR UP THROUGH NORTHERN NEVADA. WARMER AND
DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOUTH OF THE HIGHWAY 50 CORRIDOR
WITH LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION TO AREAS SUCH AS TONOPAH.
TUESDAY EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING THE LOW ALONG THE CENTRAL
CA COAST WEAKENS AND PUSHES ONSHORE. ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW SHOWER
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS MOST
OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV, WHERE MOST VALLEY LOCATIONS COULD SEE
AN ADDITIONAL TRACE TO ONE INCH OF SNOW. SHOWERS DIMINISH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A 25% CHANCE OF
SHOWERS FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND OVER NORTHERN NV AND AROUND A 10%
CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR CENTRAL NV.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN UNSETTLED WEATHER AND COOLER
CONDITIONS TONIGHT INTO NEXT WEEK.
THERE IS MODERATE CONFIDENCE FOR LIGHT VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN
SNOW TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA.
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN SHOWERS TAPERING OFF MONDAY AFTERNOON.
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN A SECOND ROUND OF SHOWERS BEGINNING MONDAY
EVENING NEAR THE HIGHWAY 50 CORRIDOR, WITH SHOWERS EXPANDING INTO
NORTHERN NV OVERNIGHT WITH SNOW LEVELS LOWERING TO VALLEY FLOORS.
CONFIDENCE IS LOW WITH RESPECT TO QPF AND SNOW AMOUNTS AND
LOCATIONS MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS GUIDANCE
CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNIFICANT RUN TO RUN DISCREPANCIES.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS TODAY. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON, WITH STRONGEST GUSTS OF 15 TO 25 KTS AT
KWMC KBAM AND KEKO. CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING FRONT
WILL INCREASE ACROSS NORTHERN NV THIS MORNING AND EXPAND INTO
CENTRAL NV BY THIS EVENING. VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOWFALL
BEGIN EARLY THIS EVENING WELL NORTH OF KWMC, UP NEAR THE OREGON
BORDER. SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH KWMC BY AROUND 09Z MONDAY,
KBAM BY 11Z AND KEKO BY 12-13Z. KENV MAY SEE VCSH AROUND 16Z
MONDAY, BUT FOR NOW KENV, KELY AND KTPH ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...96
AVIATION...96
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