844
FXUS65 KLKN 082104
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
104 PM PST SUN FEB 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1253 PM PST SUN FEB 8 2026
* TEMPERATURES REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL TODAY
* A COLD FRONT PASSES ACROSS NORTHERN NV TONIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING WITH LIGHT VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW
* UNSETTLED WEATHER INTENSIFIES MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
WITH SNOW LEVELS LOWERING TO VALLEY FLOORS DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: ONE FINAL AFTERNOON OF NEAR RECORD
TEMPERATURES BEFORE THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM MAKES ITSELF KNOWN
OVERNIGHT. WHILE THE BULK OF THE SYSTEM REMAINS WELL TO THE WEST,
A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MAKE ITS PASSAGE ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA
OVERNIGHT. THE FRONT WILL SPARK SOME LIGHT VALLEY RAIN/MOUNTAIN
SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT, AS WELL AS SIGNIFICANTLY LOWERING
TEMPERATURES FOR TOMORROW WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOME SHOWERS WILL
LINGER IN THE HIGHWAY 50 CORRIDOR MONDAY BUT SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL
BE LIMITED (UNDER HALF AN INCH FOR VALLEYS AND PASSES) AND ROADS
WILL LIKELY REMAIN TOO WARM FOR ANY ACCUMULATION.
THE BULK OF THE SYSTEM ARRIVES TUESDAY, AHEAD OF THE TROUGH MAKING
LANDFALL ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST. SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL EXPAND
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA, BEGINNING AS SNOW BEFORE TRANSITIONING
TO THE VALLEY RAIN/MOUNTAIN SNOW MIX AS SNOW LEVELS RISE TO ABOUT
7000 FEET DURING THE DAY WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S BEFORE
RETURNING TO THE LOW 30S OVERNIGHT. SHOWER ACTIVITY BEGINS TO
WEAKEN ON WEDNESDAY AND THE AFTERNOON HOURS WILL SEE CLEARING
BEGIN IN HUMBOLDT COUNTY BEFORE EXPANDING EAST OVERNIGHT. BREEZY
CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED IN CENTRAL NEVADA, WITH GUSTS UP TO
35 MPH EXPECTED. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 40S, DROPPING
TO THE 20S OVERNIGHT. SOME LIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL LINGER IN
CENTRAL NEVADA ON THURSDAY BUT NO NEW ACCUMULATION IS ANTICIPATED.
A WEAK RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD FRIDAY AND TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TO CLIMB SLOWLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND, HOWEVER LONG RANGE GUIDANCE
SHOWS ANOTHER COLD AND WET SYSTEM IMPACTING NEVADA EARLY NEXT
WEEK. TIMING AND IMPACTS OF THIS SYSTEM ARE STILL HIGHLY UNCERTAIN
AND WILL LIKELY REMAIN SO UNTIL AFTER THE FIRST SYSTEM CLEARS THE
AREA.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE CONTINUES FOR
UNSETTLED WEATHER AND COOLER TEMPERATURES THROUGH MID WEEK.
CONFIDENCE REMAINS MODERATE FOR TWO ROUNDS OF VALLEY RAIN/MOUNTAIN
SNOW. MODEL GUIDANCE REGARDING QPF AND SNOW TOTALS CONTINUES TO
CHANGE RUN TO RUN AND CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW. THERE IS MODERATE
CONFIDENCE FOR THE ACTIVE AND WET PATTERN TO CONTINUE INTO NEXT
WEEK BUT CONFIDENCE IN THE DETAILS IS VERY LOW. NO DEVIATIONS FROM
BASE NBM FORECAST.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS AND WINDS 10KT OR LESS EXPECTED AT KTPH
AND KELY THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. KWMC/KBAM/KEKO/KENV CAN EXPECT
VFR CONDITIONS, PERIODIC GUSTY WINDS AND LOWERING CEILINGS THROUGH
THE EVENING HOURS, AFTER WHICH A LINE OF SHOWERS IS EXPECTED TO
PASS OVER EACH SITE WEST TO EAST. SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP
CEILINGS TO MVFR/IFR LEVELS. CONDITIONS ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO
PERSIST FOR A FEW HOURS AT EACH SITE BEFORE THE SHOWERS EXIT EAST
AND CONDITIONS IMPROVE.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...94
AVIATION...94
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page