481
FXUS65 KLKN 092149
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
149 PM PST MON FEB 9 2026
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 137 PM PST MON FEB 9 2026
* UNSETTLED WEATHER INTENSIFIES TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY WITH
SNOW LEVELS LOWERING TO VALLEY FLOORS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
* STRONG GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED IN CENTRAL NEVADA TOMORROW AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL SPARK
SEVERAL WAVES OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS NEVADA IN THE COMING DAYS.
THE FIRST ROUND WILL TAKE THE FORM OF A BAND OF LIGHT SNOW MAINLY
IN CENTRAL NEVADA, WITH VALLEY ACCUMULATIONS LESS THAN 0.1 INCHES,
PASSES ABOUT 0.5 INCHES AND MOUNTAINS UP TO TWO INCHES. SHOWERS
MOSTLY DISSIPATE TOMORROW MORNING, ALLOWING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES
TO REACH THE UPPER 30S AND 40S, BEFORE STRENGTHENING DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS WILL ALSO BE STRENGTHENING DURING THIS TIME
AND A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT IN CENTRAL NEVADA FROM 1PM PST
TUESDAY UNTIL 7AM PST WEDNESDAY. WINDS DIE DOWN ON WEDNESDAY BUT
SHOWERS CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS IS A CHANGE FROM
YESTERDAY’S FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED SLIGHTLY. ANOTHER
CHANGE IS TO VALLEY PRECIPITATION TYPE, WHICH IS LOOKING SLIGHTLY
WARMER AND SOME OF THE SNOW HAS SHIFTED TO RAIN. DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL BE IN THE 40S AND 50S.
THE FORECAST BEYOND THURSDAY REMAINS UNCERTAIN BUT THE GENERAL
TRENDS ARE STILL VISIBLE. WEAK RIDGING WILL BUILD IN ONCE THE
TROUGH CLEARS FRIDAY MORNING, ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB
SOMEWHAT FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. ANOTHER COLD AND WET SYSTEM IS ALSO
STILL ON TRACK TO FOLLOW THE RIDGING BUT TIMING AND IMPACTS REMAIN
HIGHLY UNCERTAIN.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST
AS DESCRIBED ABOVE THROUGH THURSDAY. MODERATE CONFIDENCE REGARDING
WEAK RIDGING FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER COLD AND WET SYSTEM, BUT LOW
CONFIDENCE IN TIMING AND VERY LOW CONFIDENCE IN IMPACTS OF THE
SECOND SYSTEM. NBM 95TH PERCENTILE WAS BLENDED WITH THE WIND AND
WIND GUST VALUES FOR TOMORROW AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
TO BETTER REFLECT THE STRONG WINDS EXPECTED AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS AND INTERMITTENT GUSTY WINDS UP TO 25KT
ARE THE STORY ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. KENV IS ALSO EXPERIENCING OFF
AND ON VISIBILITY AS LOW AS 1SM DUE TO BLOWING DUST IN THE AREA.
DURING THE VERY LATE EVENING HOURS SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
IMPACTING KWMC/KBAM/KEKO/KENV AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD. VISIBILITY BELOW VFR CONDITIONS CANNOT BE
RULED OUT BUT IS NOT CURRENTLY FORECAST. SHOWERS ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO IMPACT KTPH/KELY DURING THE CURRENT TAF PERIOD, BUT THEY ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH BOTH SITES BEFORE THE END OF THE DAY TOMORROW.
WINDS AT ALL SITES ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO AROUND 10KT OR LESS
BY 03Z. WINDS AT KELY/KTPH ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN TOMORROW
AFTERNOON.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 7 AM PST WEDNESDAY
NVZ035-037-040-041.
DISCUSSION...94
AVIATION...94
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