701
FXUS65 KLKN 100811 AAA
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1210 AM PST TUE FEB 10 2026
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1210 AM PST TUE FEB 10 2026
* STRONG GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED IN CENTRAL NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING
* PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1210 AM PST TUE FEB 10 2026
NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL SPARK
SEVERAL WAVES OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS NEVADA IN THE COMING DAYS.
THE FIRST ROUND WILL TAKE THE FORM OF A BAND OF LIGHT SNOW MAINLY
IN CENTRAL NEVADA, WITH VALLEY ACCUMULATIONS LESS THAN 0.1 INCHES,
PASSES ABOUT 0.5 INCHES AND MOUNTAINS UP TO TWO INCHES. SHOWERS
MOSTLY DISSIPATE TOMORROW MORNING, ALLOWING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES
TO REACH THE UPPER 30S AND 40S, BEFORE STRENGTHENING DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS WILL ALSO BE STRENGTHENING DURING THIS TIME
AND A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT IN CENTRAL NEVADA FROM 1PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON UNTIL 7AM PST WEDNESDAY MORNING. WINDS DIE DOWN ON
WEDNESDAY, BUT SHOWERS CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS IS
A CHANGE FROM YESTERDAY’S FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED
SLIGHTLY. ANOTHER CHANGE IS TO VALLEY PRECIPITATION TYPE, WHICH IS
LOOKING SLIGHTLY WARMER AND SOME OF THE SNOW HAS SHIFTED TO RAIN.
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL BE IN THE 40S.
THE FORECAST BEYOND THURSDAY REMAINS UNCERTAIN, BUT THE GENERAL
TRENDS ARE STILL VISIBLE. WEAK RIDGING WILL BUILD IN ONCE THE TROUGH
CLEARS THURSDAY NIGHT, ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB SOMEWHAT
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. ANOTHER COLD AND WET SYSTEM IS ALSO STILL ON
TRACK TO FOLLOW THE RIDGING BUT SPECIFIC TIMING AND IMPACTS REMAIN
HIGHLY UNCERTAIN.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST
AS DESCRIBED ABOVE THROUGH THURSDAY. MODERATE CONFIDENCE REGARDING
WEAK RIDGING FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER COLD AND WET SYSTEM, BUT LOW
CONFIDENCE IN TIMING AND VERY LOW CONFIDENCE IN IMPACTS OF THE
SECOND SYSTEM. NBM 95TH PERCENTILE WAS BLENDED WITH THE WIND AND
WIND GUST VALUES FOR THIS AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING TO BETTER
REFLECT THE STRONG WINDS EXPECTED AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM.
AVIATION
VISIBILITY BELOW VFR CONDITIONS CANNOT BE RULED OUT BUT IS NOT
CURRENTLY FORECAST. SHOWERS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO IMPACT KTPH/KELY
DURING THE CURRENT TAF PERIOD, BUT THEY ARE EXPECTED TO REACH BOTH
SITES BY TONIGHT. WINDS AT KELY/KTPH ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE
THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAIN STRONG TONIGHT.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 7 AM PST WEDNESDAY
NVZ035-037-040-041.
DISCUSSION...94
AVIATION...94
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