101
FXUS65 KLKN 112120
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
120 PM PST WED FEB 11 2026
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 114 PM PST WED FEB 11 2026
* GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE IN CENTRAL NEVADA THROUGH SUNSET
* PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION TODAY THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON
* A SERIES OF STORM SYSTEMS WILL IMPACT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA
EARLY NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: DISCUSSION: SHOWER ACTIVITY IS PICKING
UP ACROSS THE AREA, PARTICULARLY IN CENTRAL NEVADA, AND IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER TROUGH
MAKES ITS PASSAGE ACROSS THE STATE. PRECIPITATION IS GENERALLY
EXPECTED TO BE VALLEY RAIN/MOUNTAIN SNOW, ALTHOUGH VALLEYS WILL
SEE A TRANSITION TO MIXED PRECIPITATION OVERNIGHT AS SNOW LEVELS
AND TEMPERATURES DROP. WINDS ALSO REMAIN STRONG IN CENTRAL NEVADA
AT THIS TIME, WITH GUSTS 25-35 MPH, DECREASING TO 10-15 MPH AFTER
SUNDOWN. THE TROUGH AXIS IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER NEVADA TOMORROW
LEAVING NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND IT. WEAK RIDGING BUILDS FOR FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY AND DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND INTO THE LOW
50S BY SATURDAY WITH OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S AND LOW
30S.
ANOTHER MORE INTENSE TROUGH BEGINS ITS APPROACH ON SUNDAY, MAKING
ITSELF KNOWN THROUGH STRENGTHENING WINDS IN CENTRAL NEVADA AND
SHOWER ACTIVITY INCREASING NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. WINDS CONTINUE
TO GUST THROUGH TUESDAY WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS GUSTING AROUND 40
MPH ON MONDAY. SHOWERS ALSO CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE
FORECAST, TRANSITIONING TO SNOW BY MONDAY AS SNOW LEVELS DROP INTO
THE 5000S. TEMPERATURES ALSO DROP, WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S FOR
MONDAY AND 30S FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES
WILL BE IN THE TEENS AND 20S.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN
PRECIPITATION AND TOTALS THROUGH THURSDAY AS THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES
TO UNDERPERFORM COMPARED TO GUIDANCE. LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE SECOND
TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED IMPACTS. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS CLEARED UP
SOMEWHAT REGARDING TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM, HOWEVER DISAGREEMENT IS
STILL HIGH REGARDING TRACK AND IMPACTS. NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO
BASE NBM FORECAST.
AVIATION
PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE IN THE VICINITY OF ALL SITES EXCEPT
KTPH THROUGH THE EVENING AND EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS AND COULD CAUSE
SHORT LIVED LOWERED FLIGHT CATEGORIES. WINDS AT KTPH AND KEKO
CONTINUE TO BE STRONG, GUSTING 25-30KT UNTIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...94
AVIATION...94
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