722
FXUS65 KLKN 120801 AAA
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1201 AM PST THU FEB 12 2026
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1201 AM PST THU FEB 12 2026
* PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION TODAY
* WARMING TREND FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
* STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS GUSTS IN CENTRAL NEVADA SUNDAY
* A SERIES OF STORM SYSTEMS WILL IMPACT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA
EARLY NEXT WEEK
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1201 AM PST THU FEB 12 2026
NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: PRECIPITATION TODAY IS GENERALLY EXPECTED
TO BE VALLEY RAIN/MOUNTAIN SNOW. THE TROUGH AXIS IS EXPECTED TO PASS
OVER NEVADA THIS EVENING, LEAVING NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND IT. WEAK
RIDGING BUILDS FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AND DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL
REBOUND INTO THE LOW 50S BY SATURDAY WITH OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES IN
THE 20S AND LOW 30S.
ANOTHER MORE INTENSE TROUGH BEGINS ITS APPROACH ON SUNDAY, MAKING
ITSELF KNOWN THROUGH STRENGTHENING WINDS IN CENTRAL NEVADA. WINDS
CONTINUE TO GUST THROUGH TUESDAY WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS GUSTING
AROUND 40 MPH SUNDAY. SHOWERS ALSO CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE
FORECAST, TRANSITIONING TO SNOW BY MONDAY NIGHT AS SNOW LEVELS FALL
TO THE VALLEY FLOOR. TEMPERATURES ALSO DROP, WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S
FOR MONDAY AND 30S FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES
WILL BE IN THE TEENS AND 20S.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN
PRECIPITATION AND TOTALS THROUGH TODAY AS THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO
UNDER PERFORM COMPARED TO GUIDANCE. LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE SECOND
TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED IMPACTS. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS CLEARED UP
SOMEWHAT REGARDING TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM, HOWEVER DISAGREEMENT IS
STILL HIGH REGARDING TRACK AND IMPACTS. NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO BASE
NBM FORECAST.
AVIATION
PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. RAIN SHOWERS
WILL BE IN THE VICINITY OF ALL SITES EXCEPT KTPH THIS MORNING AND
COULD SHORT LIVED LOWERED FLIGHT CATEGORIES.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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