818  
FXUS65 KLKN 022001  
AFDLKN  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV  
1201 PM PST MON MAR 2 2026  
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
1201 PM PST MON MAR 2 2026  
 
* LINGERING MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS AND VALLEY RAIN SHOWERS THIS  
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING  
 
* PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH  
THURSDAY EVENING  
 
* INCREASING CHANCES OF ACCUMULATING VALLEY SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
AND THURSDAY MORNING  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY)  
 
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE  
EASTWARD INTO THE MOUNTAIN WEST TONIGHT. MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS AND  
VALLEY RAIN SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ATMOSPHERIC DISTURBANCE  
WILL LINGER IN THE SERVICE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.  
CLEARING SKIES TONIGHT COULD LEAD TO FOG FORMATION IN THE TYPICAL  
VALLEY LOCATIONS. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PASS EASTWARD  
ACROSS THE SILVER STATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.  
 
PRECIPITATION AHEAD OF A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL OVERSPREAD  
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA FROM WEST TO EAST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.  
THIS TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA  
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING, RESULTING IN PERIODS OF  
PRECIPITATION. SNOW LEVELS WILL START AT AROUND 6,500 FEET  
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, BEFORE DROPPING TO ABOUT 4,500 FEET WEDNESDAY  
NIGHT. THE MAJORITY OF THIS PRECIPITATION WILL FALL WEDNESDAY  
EVENING. PROBABILITIES OF ACCUMULATING VALLEY SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
AND THURSDAY MORNING ARE INCREASING. HERE ARE PROBABILITIES OF  
ONE INCH OR MORE OF SNOWFALL FOR SELECT LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN AND  
CENTRAL NEVADA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING:  
 
LAMOILLE - 90%  
OWYHEE - 80%  
SPRING CREEK - 75%  
EUREKA - 70%  
JACKPOT - 65%  
AUSTIN - 65%  
ELY - 60%  
WELLS - 60%  
CARLIN - 30%  
ELKO - 25%  
 
THE SERVICE AREA WILL REMAIN BETWEEN A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL AREA OF  
LOW PRESSURE OFF THE COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA AND ZONAL FLOW  
ALOFT OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST FRIDAY THROUGH THE UPCOMING  
WEEKEND. A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. BY  
SUNDAY AFTERNOON, MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL  
NEVADA WILL BE AROUND TEN DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL VALUES.  
 
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE  
REGARDING LINGERING MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS AND VALLEY RAIN SHOWERS  
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. MODERATE FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN  
PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH  
THURSDAY EVENING. LOW FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING ACCUMULATING  
VALLEY SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING. NO DEVIATIONS  
FROM THE NBM MODEL OUTPUT.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
MVFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY IN AND NEAR SHOWERS THIS  
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. VFR CONDITIONS AND CLEARING SKIES ARE  
EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS TONIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST AT  
ALL TERMINALS TUESDAY.  
 

 
   
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
87  
 
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