970
FXUS65 KLKN 051128
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
328 AM PST THU MAR 5 2026
KEY MESSAGES
1256 AM PST THU MAR 5 2026
* PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING
* STRONG, GUSTY WINDS ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA TODAY
* WARMING TREND WILL START FRIDAY AND CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND
AVIATION UPDATE
ISSUED AT 327 AM PST THU MAR 5 2026
ADDED AMD NOT SKED TO THE KENV TAF DUE TO COMMUNICATIONS ISSUES.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: PRECIPITATION AHEAD OF A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL OVERSPREAD NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA FROM WEST
TO EAST THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON,
RESULTING IN PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION. SNOW LEVELS WILL START AT
AROUND 6,500 FEET THIS AFTERNOON, BEFORE DROPPING TO THE VALLEY
FLOOR TONIGHT. THE MAJORITY OF THIS PRECIPITATION WILL FALL THIS
EVENING. HERE ARE PROBABILITIES OF ONE INCH OR MORE OF SNOWFALL
FOR SELECT LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA FROM 4 PM PST
THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL 4 PM PST THURSDAY AFTERNOON:
OWYHEE - 87%
JACKPOT - 71%
RUBY LAKE - 69%
LAMOILLE - 68%
JIGGS - 55%
SPRING CREEK - 54%
WELLS - 33%
AUSTIN - 32%
ELKO - 29%
EUREKA - 29%
STRONG, GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE THURSDAY. A WIND ADVISORY IS
IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL NEVADA FROM 8 AM PST THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL
7 PM PST THURSDAY EVENING. AN UPPER-LEVEL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL DEVELOP IN THE BASE OF THE TROUGH OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
FRIDAY. THIS CYCLONE ALOFT WILL PROGRESS SOUTHWESTWARD THIS
WEEKEND. FARTHER NORTH, A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA THIS WEEKEND. THIS RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD EARLY NEXT WEEK. A WARMING TREND IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY. BY MONDAY AFTERNOON, MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WILL BE TWELVE TO
FOURTEEN DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REGARDING PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN ACCUMULATING VALLEY
SNOW TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING. MODERATE FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REGARDING STRONG, GUSTY WINDS IN CENTRAL NEVADA THURSDAY. MODERATE
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN A WARMING TREND FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY. NO
DEVIATIONS FROM THE NBM MODEL OUTPUT.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING NVZ031-034.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM PST THIS EVENING
NVZ035-037-039>041.
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...87
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