907
FXUS65 KLKN 061356 CCA
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
556 AM PST FRI MAR 6 2026
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 115 AM PST FRI MAR 6 2026
* SUB-ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS THE REST OF TODAY
* WARMING TREND WILL START TODAY AND CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 115 AM PST FRI MAR 6 2026
CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK. NO CHANGES ARE NEEDED..
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION FROM A TROUGH
OF LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WILL PUSH
EASTWARD THIS EVENING WITH MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED
ACROSS THE REGION. MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE VERY LIGHT
THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY ACROSS EASTERN NEVADA WITH THE MAJORITY
AFFECTING MOUNTAINS. HIGH GUSTY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EVENING WITH SPEEDS UP TO 20-25 MPH, GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45-50 MPH,
BECOMING LIGHTER OVERNIGHT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOME PARTS IN
CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN NEVADA REMAINING GUSTY UNTIL TOMORROW
MORNING.
AS THE TROUGH MOVES EAST, A PART OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
CUT-OFF AND HEAD SOUTH TOWARDS NORTHWESTERN MEXICO, WITH AN UPPER
RIDGE BUILDING JUST NORTH OF THE SYSTEM ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST SETTING
UP A WEAK REX BLOCK PATTERN OVER THE WESTERN CONUS ON THE WEEKEND
AS A STRONGER ZONAL FLOW OVER THE NORTHERN BORDER WILL HINDER THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THE UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE. THIS PATTERN IS
STILL EXPECTED TO BRING WARMER TEMPERATURES INTO NEVADA AS GRADUAL
WARMING BEGINS FRIDAY AND IS EXPECTED TO WARM INTO THE NEXT WEEK,
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES REACHING UP TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY
MONDAY.
SHORTLY AFTER THE REX BLOCK FORMS, MODELS SHOWING IT WILL QUICKLY
DISSIPATE AS THE CUT-OFF LOW PUSHES AND THE UPPER RIDGE WEAKENS
MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY. AFTER THAT, IN THE MODELS APPEAR
AS TO WHAT THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK,
WITH SOME MODELS SHOWING A NORTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER NEVADA AS A
LONG WAVE TROUGH MOVES OVER NORTHERN CONUS THAT MAY CLIP INTO
NORTHERN NEVADA, WHILE OTHERS SHOW A BUILDING OF A LONG WAVE UPPER
RIDGE ACROSS WESTERN CONUS. SO FAR, THE BEST CONFIDENCE IN THE
LONG RANGE IS THE WARMER TEMPERATURES ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA
STAYING ABOVE NORMAL, EVERYTHING ELSE WILL BE FURTHER MONITORED AS
THE WEEK APPROACHES FOR A MORE AGREEABLE OUTCOME.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
LIGHT SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY MAINLY OVER AND NEAR MOUNTAINS OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV WILL TAPER OFF BY LATE THIS THURSDAY
EVENING. WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED AT MOST TERMINALS, WITH GUSTS
ENDING BY 08Z AT KELY. THE REMAINING WIND CONCERNS ARE FOR KTPH
AND KENV WHERE NW WINDS OF 10 TO 20KTS GUSTING 20 TO 30KTS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND INTO FRIDAY.
WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY AT ALL TERMINALS BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING
THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY EVENING.
KENV REMAINS AMD NOT SKED DUE TO COMMUNICATION ISSUES.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...86/96/97
AVIATION...96
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