535
FXUS65 KLKN 211931
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1231 PM PDT SAT MAR 21 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* RECORD TO NEAR RECORD WARMTH IS EXPECTED ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NEVADA EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY
* DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND
* SUNDAY, AS WELL AS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY OF NEXT WEEK WILL BE
SLIGHTLY COOLER, BUT TEMPERATURES LOOK TO REBOUND QUICKLY
AFTERWARD.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:
ANOMALOUSLY STRONG EARLY SPRING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT PLAYER FOR WEATHER THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THIS RIDGE CURRENTLY SITUATED OVER THE SONORA
DESERT OF ARIZONA AND NORTHERN MEXICO WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES 25 TO
30 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE THIS WEEK. THIS WILL CONTINUE THE STREAK
OF SEEING NEAR RECORD TO RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTHERN
AND EASTERN NEVADA THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT SATURDAY. THERE WILL DUE
TO A FEW DISTURBANCES IN THE WESTERLY FLOW THAT WILL HELP COOL
THINGS OF FOR A DAY OR TWO DURING THIS PERIOD, HOWEVER EVEN DURING
THOSE DAYS TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE NEAR RECORD TERRITORY. THE
FIRST OF THESE COOLER DAYS WILL BE SUNDAY AS A UPPER TROUGH
FLATTENS THE RIDGE A BIT ALLOWING FOR INCREASED UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS
TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NV IN THE WESTERLY FLOW. TEMPERATURES
SUNDAY WILL BE ABOUT 5 TO 9 DEGREES COOLER THAN SATURDAY AFTERNOON
RANGING IN THE UPPER 60S TO UPPER 70S. MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
THE RIDGE RESTRENGTHENS, SENDING TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE UPPER
70S TO UPPER 80S. WINDS SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WILL
BE OUT OF THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 25 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE. THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL SEE ANOTHER
WEAK UPPER TROUGH TRANSIT SOUTHERN NEVADA AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF
THE RIDGE. THIS WILL AGAIN HELP PUSH THE RIDGE SLIGHTLY EAST OVER
THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF FAR SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO, AS WELL AS
FLATTEN THE RIDGE BRIEFLY ALLOWING FOR HEIGHT FALLS ACROSS
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV AND INCREASING THE UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEGREES COOLER, RANGING INTO
INTO THE UPPER 60S TO UPPER 70S BOTH DAYS. HOWEVER, AGAIN THE
RIDGE WILL BE QUICK TO REBUILD NW ALLOWING FOR A QUICK RECOVERY OF
TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE MID 70S TO MID 80S FOR NEXT WEEKEND.
THE GOOD NEWS IS EVEN WITH THE VERY WARM DAY TIME TEMPERATURES,
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL AVERAGE INTO THE MID 30S TO MID 40S, WHILE
ANOMALOUSLY WARM THEMSELVES, IT STILL ALLOWS FOR GOOD RECOVERY
FROM HEAT STRESSES ACCUMULATED DURING THE DAY. FOR WINDS DURING
THE THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY PERIOD, THERE WILL BE A SHIFT
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY TO A NORTHWEST DIRECTION, AND AGAIN SATURDAY
TO BE OUT OF THE NE. SPEEDS WILL BE SIMILAR AT 5 TO 15 MPH, WITH
GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR NEAR RECORD, TO RECORD SETTING
TEMPERATURES FOR EACH DAY SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE CONTINUATION OF DRY CONDITIONS
THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING WITH BREEZY
WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10KT TO 20KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30KT
POSSIBLE. INCREASING MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL LOWER CIGS TO
A MINIMUM OF 15KFT.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...98
AVIATION...98
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